Inside the Recent Bearish Rising Wedge
Technicians should not be surprised with the recent downward price ejection out of the August consolidation pattern, known as a ‘rising wedge.’ Not only did the pattern follow classic definitions and expectations, we were treated with a prior example of the pattern just a few short months ago. Let’s look at the Dow Jones index and step inside this pattern for a better educational foundation.
Dow Jones Daily Chart:…
Original Source: blog.afraidtotrade.com
In the Cheapo Shot category:Looks like there was a buyer of the Mar 22.5c to open…swept all the exchanges…4k trade on the day vs open interest of 104CBS is $16.30 and not that volatile, so pretty far away right now. And these pups only cost 25 cents….
So we noted an interesting trade yesterday; a customer buys the MS April 45 straddle vs. shorting the GS April 170 straddle, 4:1 for a modest debit.Why, you ask?Beats me. There’s no real volatility arb here. Goldman’s up top, Morgan is down below, and you can see options move pretty similarly. MS trades modestly higher in volatility terms at almost all times. He’s paying a high 40’s volatility now for MS, vs. selling a low 40’s volatility in GS, so looks like that fact is already priced in….
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Here we see the Cumulative NYSE TICK from July 1st through Thursday. Recall that the NYSE TICK measures the number of NYSE stocks trading on upticks minus those trading on downticks. This gives us a relative sense for buying vs. selling pressure across the broad range of stocks. The Cumulative TICK adds the one-minute values for the NYSE TICK to a running total, like an advance-decline line. When the Cumulative TICK line is rising, it means that we’re seeing more stocks trading on upticks than on downticks: net buying sentiment. When the line is falling, we’re seeing more stocks trading on downticks than upticks, which indicates net selling sentiment….