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4th July

Have a great Holiday!!Swing Trading, Technical Analysis, Daily Stock Market Commentary….
Original Source: 2dtrading.blogspot.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 23:43
Links for 2008-07-03 [del.icio.us]

Treasure Your Mental Health
10 Painful Parkour/Free Running Accident Videos
Clever Bathroom Door Signs
T…
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 22:00
Monthly Crude Mighty Stretched

W…
Here’s the monthly chart of crude oil going back about a dozen years. Yes, it’s up over 13 times off its 1998 low and recently started poking out of the regression channel (>2 SD). I expect it to go sideways for awhile at least after hitting the “magic” $150/barrel mark.

Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 19:36
Experiment with Obtrusive Ad

If you visit the website (I never do, I read maoxian as a feed), you’ll notice a new large colorful ad in the upper right hand corner. I’m doing a little experiment to see how much revenue this thing can generate in a month. With the old text ads I used to make about 20 cents a day, but these more obnoxious ones pay better (40 cents a day?).
I will report faithfully on how much beer I can buy with my monthly AdCents revenue!


Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 18:45
We Got the Grill Started on the Summer Rally - Will Oil Put It Out?

Hi and Happy 4th!It seems like the rally we begged for is starting but with the BEAR firmly in place even the best calls in the short term are being doused with OIL! I cannot see fighting the oil tape but conditions are in place for a rally but that bleep down to 1255 SPX is a warning shot that you have to BE CAREFUL !No sense taking the chance and might add some IWM puts along with the burgers and dogs as protection from a fall may be as important as those long positions …please take this note from me to you to have a safe and healthy July 4th holiday and thanks especially to the Goddess for allowing us to use this tremendous platform (I never look at the photos) to communicate our trading skills to all of you. I am constantly learning after 32 years and I hope the lesson of this week is …never trust a bear covered in oil???…
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 14:27
Get Ready For Earnings Season!

Yesterday, the market eventually caved in to selling pressure as investors fled for the exits. A higher than expected ADP employment index weighed on the market. Initial jobless claims have been creeping higher for the last four weeks and traders felt comfortable shorting the market ahead of today’s Unemployment Report. A worst-case scenario was priced into the market and no one was going to take any chances after last month’s dismal report. Yesterday’s decline pushed the market down to a new relative low on a closing basis. The January capitulation low and the March retest both had higher closing lows. This …

Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 13:59
Unka Jack and T.G., Jr.

Yes, my Uncle really looks like that…andyes…that really is T.G., Jr.:)

Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 13:35
Three Small Profitable Trades For TIM; Three Giant Gains For TIMalert-kind

Yup, posted about another couple of trades rather perfectly, even while I personally screwed them up a bit…this has gotta be some kind of record, what is it 10 years of this crap now? Welcome to my life brothas!
Wednesday: After a morning runup, I saw HYGS fading a bit—price and volume-wise, so I pulled up my Thinkorswim live chat to enter in my order (reserved shares in the morning, but just put a note on my account) and guess what I saw, I had shorted 2,000 TGC at $3.49 (thinking it’d never get up that high, I was too lazy to put a note on my account/have to get the chat window open again, the sequel to m…
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 11:50
VIXer Downer

Well, that sure was a joyful week. The market implodes as Lenny moves his DEEEEEEP picks behind a subscription wall. Coincidence? I think not.We do have a bit of a late day option pound out ahead of the 3 day weekend. It makes sense in that this weekend should be like pretty much every other weekend in that nothing will happen and we come in Monday 4 calendar days later, so why pay the decay?…
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 10:07
WE GOT THE GRILL STARTED ON THE SUMMER RALLY WILL OIL PUT IT OUT ?

Hi and Happy 4th !It seems like the rally we begged for is starting but with the BEAR firmly in place even the best calls in the short term are being doused with OIL ! I cannot see fighting the oil tape but conditions are in place for a rally but that bleep down to 1255 SPX is a warning shot that you have to BE CAREFUL !No sense taking the chance and might add some IWM puts along with the burgers and dogs as protection from a fall may be as important as those long positions …please take this note from me to you to have a safe and healthy July 4th Holiday and thanks especially to the Goddess for allowing us to use this tremendous platform ( I never look at the photos) to communicate our trading skills to all of you. I am constantly learning after 32 years and I hope the lesson of this week is …never trust a bear covered in oil ???…
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 9:40
What’s Obvious, Is Obviously Wrong…

Right? And a bounce was obviously in the cards, everyone was talking about it, everyone’s indicators were showing it, the lone hold-out was the VIX and why not, why be fearful when you know a bounce is just right there? Well it seems the market makes a name for itself by making as many people wrong at any given moment as possible and that just may be what happened this week. When all the monkeys line up at the feed bin for a monkey treat, the sadistic side in most of us would like to give them a good blast with a water canon and watch them scurry away. While most of us would refrain from that type of behavior, the market makes it’s reputation from such activity day in and day out. And for each day that a stock is up or down, another trader is thrown upon the heap of despair and ruin, I know, I’ve felt that way many times, even this week. …
Original Source: www.trade-guild.net


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 9:05
Why They Should String Samuel Israel Up On Wall Street With A Note Saying “Fraud Isn’t Painless”

Call it tough love. Leave him there long enough so the stench of his rotting corpse (still won’t be as bad as the stench of most living finance peeps—yeahhh can you say $330 billion auction rate securities catastrophe? Fraud lawsuits should be fun/illuminating) will pound home the point that if you cheat people—giving this once great industry a bad name—you will suffer the consequences. And it won’t be painless…Benito Mussolini-and-mistress-together-style: … [v…
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 8:58
Say it Ain’t So

OK, I admit it, I’m going to miss Amanda when she ships back out to Sydney. Despite that recent admission that she is indeed a “Men At Work” fan.Who among us does not appreciate songs that mention vegamite sandwiches?…
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 7:50
MORNING WHOOSH

Markets all over the board and this fish is trying to ignore the noise and focus on the weekend- A close under the March lows would have me out of the recently discussed trades but I think they will hold and oil may be getting ready to fall as all the commodity stocks continue to get hammered….
Original Source: dayshark.blogspot.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 7:19
Oil, Oil, Oil. Pullbacks Lead to Higher Prices

Crude Oil has been, and is currently, the focus of an extraordinary amount of coverage in the media, and is a dominant topic at the watercoolers and at home.  Ask anyone you see and odds are they have a strong opinion about high crude oil (or gasoline) prices - and it’s probably strongly negative.
This year has been quite exceptional for the crucial commodity - only 8 weeks have shown negative prices, and if you count since February 2008, the commodity has only seen 5 down (negative) weeks.  That is remarkable for any stock or commodity, given that roughly 25 weeks have transpired so far in 2008.

Original Source: blog.afraidtotrade.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 7:09
10 Stocks To Consider Short Selling, I’m On Fire So Pay Attention

HYGS
Alerted TIMalert subscribers that I shorted this at $2.29 in the morning, hoping for a gradual fade into negativity saying “i think if it takes out 2.28-2.25ish, it can go under $2”, DEAD ON, stock dropped to under $2 too quick for my comfort, I bailed for quick $250ish profit (detailed post coming)….woulda shorted into the afternoon fade (yes, that’s a perfect one), but I had no trades left, definitely reserve shares to short, pray it spikes again as this could really fall to sub-$1.80 if the setup is right, just gotta wait and see the price action

Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 6:19
Mad About Options: Play Potash

The Mad About Options crew reviews Jim Cramer’s recent bullish comments about Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan and offers options strategies for traders and investors. Also hear options ideas for Nike and Citigroup.


Original Source: feeds.thestreet.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 5:36
Get Ready to Rumble?

Many a tree has given it’s life bemoaning the lack of volatility pop amid this market meltage.I plead guilty myself.But important to remember we all said this same exact thing back in January (the higher graph) and March (the lower one). …
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 4:16
Forest Oil Still on Fire

RealMoney.com contributor David Peltier says rising natural gas prices will keep shares of Forest Oil in the fast lane.


Original Source: feeds.thestreet.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 3:59
Big Money out - only retailers left to dump

Given the surge we have seen in selling volume this past week one could assume the Big Money / Elephants have exited the stage before the upcoming long weekend, leaving the little retailers to scramble to the life boats. I am using the Dow as an example as (ironically) it has been the leading index and should be the first to bottom.Throughout April and May any significant volume spike was associated with a distribution day right up to the first test of the 200-day MA. The second test of the 200-day MA saw a more concerted effort at selling; generating the Chaikin Money Flow ’sell’ trigger. Since then there has been more active dumping of stock by the Big Money - especially into this week….
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  3 Julio, 2008| Technical Analisis | Comments (0) @ 1:55
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