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Housing: Why was Kudlow so wrong?

Note: It is not my intention to embarrass Mr. Kudlow, rather to simply show why his analysis was wrong (typical of many back in 2005) - and why the “housing bears” were correct.Back in June 2005, Larry Kudlow wrote: The Housing Bears Are Wrong Again “If [the housing bears] had put a little elbow grease into their analysis, they would have learned that new-housing starts for private homes and apartments haven’t changed much during the past three and a half decades. …
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com/CalculatedRisk


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 22:35
Taos Real Estate - Different But The Same

My Features and BenefitsA couple of days ago, I posted to the Real Estate Business Blog at About.com about a book written for R…
Original Source: galleryrealtyoftaos.com


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 21:03
Accepting The Inevitable In California

The Orange County Register reports from California. “A taskforce of attorneys general analyzed the number of subprime borrowers getting help from their lender. The study found that as of October 2007 about 70 percent of seriously delinquent subprime loans were not in any kind of workout with the lender. An update to the study found that as of January 2008 little had changed.”

Original Source: thehousingbubbleblog.com


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 19:17
Existing Homes: Months of Supply vs. Real Prices

Motnhs of Supply vs. Real Case-Shiller PricesHere is a graph of existing home Months of Supply vs. quarterly Real Case-Shiller National house prices since Jan 1994. C…
Original Source: bp0.blogger.com/_pMscxxELHEg/SDmJgK_dmf


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 16:41
Homes Sales & Prices Plunge - Deep Recession On Tap

stimulus=B…
Original Source: bp2.blogger.com/_GMFF5jY6gGs/SDmEkfmS_6


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 16:27
How We Make Our Purchasing Decisions

Readers suggested a topic on decision making. “Land of the biggie house, the biggie mortgage, the biggie vehicle, the biggie belly, and the biggie cereal box. Cereal box?”
“Yeah.. try this: Open a cereal box and remove the contents, squeeze the air out of the bag and look at what five bucks got you. Somewhere in this observation is a analogy for how we make many of our purchasing decisions. Guess what that analogy would be?”

Original Source: thehousingbubbleblog.com


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 16:04
Twist is off until Tuesday

I rarely take a full day off, but when my computer goes out on Memorial Day weekend, I take that as a sign. [Yes I have a spare, but it has issues.] I’m  going to just hang with the family for a  couple of days.
(more…)…
Original Source: housingdoom.com


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 15:28
Bits Bucket And Craigslist Finds For May 25, 2008

Please post off-topic ideas, links and Craigslist finds here….
Original Source: thehousingbubbleblog.com


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 11:06
Alice’s negative equity-o-meter

So far, the UK housing crash has not generated large amounts of negative equity. With prices down about 5 percent from the peak, only about 2.8 percent of mortgages have loan-to-value ratios higher than 95 percent….
Original Source: bp2.blogger.com


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 9:41
Housing’s False Bottom

Greetings, readers! At the gracious invitation of the New York City Housing Bubble, I’ve been invited to be occasional guest poster. Many of you may already have seen this piece on my website OfTwoMinds.com or via patrick.net, but I post it here in the hopes of starting a thread about NYC neighborhoods which, like this one I describe in the SF area, are still in high demand. Is your ‘hood seeing a surge of buying as “bottom fishers” decide to jump in? Please let us know what’s happening in your area….
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 8:26
U.S. Vehicle Miles vs. Real Gasoline Price

Yesterday the Department of Transportation reported that Americans drove 11 billion fewer miles in March ‘08 than in March ‘07. I presented a graph of the moving 12 month total miles driven here.The following graph compares the year-over-year change in the moving 12 month total vs. the real price of gasoline (s…
Original Source


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 3:31
So how bad is the Housing Panic in your town today?

Just checking in - where do you live and what’s it like on the ground there today?Denial? Desperation? Panic? A sea of for-sale signs?…
Original Source


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 3:29
Did Rep. Richardson fraudulently overstate her income?

A big question to ask out of this Richardson specuvestor mess is how far did the Congresswoman push the envelope to qualify for this second, foreclosed home in Sacramento? Did she falsify her income on a loan statement to qualify for the 100% loan that financed the now-defaulted home? Specuvestor Casey Serin is under investigation by the FBI for loan fraud tied to falsifying his income on loan documents after his much-publicized real estate speculating ‘career’ fell apart in the early days of the housing slowdown. Did the Representative do the same to acquire the Sacramento home?

Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com/typepad


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 3:22
Did Rep. Richardson fraudulently over-state her income?

A big question to ask out of this Richardson specuvestor mess is how far did the Congresswoman push the envelope to qualify for this second, foreclosed home in Sacramento?  Did she falsify her income on a loan statement to qualify for the 100% loan that financed the now-defaulted home?  Specuvestor Casey Serin is under investigation by the FBI for loan fraud tied to falsifying his income on loan documents after his much-publicized real estate speculating ‘career’ fell apart in the early days of the housing slowdown.  Did the Representative do the same to acquire the Sacramento home?

Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com/typepad


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 3:22
Congresswoman Richardson defaulted on 3 CA properties

As we covered a few days back, Congresswoman Richardson’s spared foreclosure on her Sacramento home by a serendipitous loan modification made waves when the first report suggested that her home had gone in to default. Richardson denied the home went in to foreclosure and she was generally given the benefit of the doubt by this blog and others. Foolish us, when did we ever begin trusting the words from the lips of politicians?

Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com/typepad


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 2:58
So the "Mortgage Research Center" aka the "FHA Loan Center" is having a little contest… Oh, won’t they be surprised..


Original Source: housingpanic.blogspot.com


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 2:55
Truth in Advertising - Taos Real Estate & Web Sites

Again today, I listened to a radio advertisement for a local Taos real estate broker. The total focus of the radio ad was the fact that the internet is important to marketing your property listing. This broker refers you to his/her site, and implies that it is effective in marketing properties on the internet. A few truths in advertising:

This particular site has a Google Pagerank of 2 out of a possible 10.
There are only six links to this site from other websites.

Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com/TaosRealEstate


  25 May, 2008| housingblogs | Comments (0) @ 1:48

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