Easy money leads to meltdown?

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Original Source: www.valuestockplus.net

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 23:00

PEP: FInancial Analysis through September 2008

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Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/financial-gauges

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 20:57

Dangers of the Greedy Limit Order

/img>As some of you might know, I’ve been playing the Constellation Energy Group (CEG) merger arbitrage opportunity. Berkshire Hathaway’s MidAmerican has offered to buy CEG shares for $26.50. The stock has bounced down as low as $15 and as high as $28.62.
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Original Source: www.fatpitchfinancials.com

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 19:22

Specific scams to look for in futures trading

Scams and frauds in this kind of trading are plentiful and most of these scams can be observed in many ethnic communities in New York, California and Florida. A number of these frauds and scams are usually centered o precious metals like gold and silver, foreign currencies and crude oil. These are general commodities that are the centerpiece of most frauds and listed here are some particular schemes and frauds that should be avoided.
One scam that should be avoided is the scam that allows you to get rich easy. If the deal is too good to be true, then might as well skip it. Don’t follow the speaker that can guarantee you large profits. Before you pour in your hard earned savings into one business venture, make sure that you do your work and you research. Always get a financial advice from a professional to form a sound judgment. If a business undertaking offers little or no financial risk, then this should push you to ask around. Ask for the written risk disclosure. If the written risk disclosure is present, make sure that you check and read this all-important document.
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Original Source: networthmasters.com

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 17:24

Readers Help

#1 - I am back to about 50% cash after taking a bevy of profits into this morning from Friday’s buys - tough to go long this market, or go short it until fundamentals are respected. Everything is a sentiment trade…#2 - I am not talking that much about individual stocks or new ideas because frankly, repeat point #1. Fundamentals have not meant anything in a long while - many many many stocks whose fundamentals I like are being treated no different than companies with faltering fundamentals. No differentiation means no reason to give our money to the mark…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/FundMyMutualFund

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 14:35

A Bullish Conversation With My Brother

My brother who lives in Russia, and travels all over the former Soviet countries gave me a call on Skype. He timidly asked, "how is your portfolio?" I replied some good some bad. Not complaining.

I ask, why the interest in the market. He replied "I want to start trading commodities." I asked, "huh?" You the […]
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Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/InvestorGeeks

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 13:41

New York Times: High Flying Hedge Fund Falls Back to Earth

I am reading an avalanche of stories about shakeouts happening in the hedge fund industry. As we mentioned earlier in the fall, we expected many to close their doors because they cannot earn performance fees (generally 20% of all profits) unless they hit a high water mark (i.e. until their investors are made whole they generate none of those fees) so we expected many to just close up shop at the end of the year. [S…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/FundMyMutualFund

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 13:30

New Energy Finance - NEX - Week +1 in Review

Each week I provide a recap of the previous week’s performance of the WilderHill New Energy Global Innovation Index, symbol NEX. This information is provided by New Energy Finance. This week the folks at New Energy Finance decided to provide the results though Monday, October 14 rather than the usual Friday wrap up day. This is quite understandable as the NEX was down 25% for the 5 day week and made up 80% of the loss on the 6th day. It will be interesting to see how they report this/next week’s results.
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Original Source: timplaehn.com

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 11:33

Wall Street Journal: As Economy Weakens, Sports Feel a Chill

Another of our predictions is beginning to come to fruition. In May 2008 I wroteI’ve written as well, I believe discretionary entertainment will also take a hit (ex video games) - RVs, boats, even sporting events ALTHOUGH most sporting events are now populated by the upper 10% whom this slowdown will hit last, and corporations. But I just cannot imagine the average football game where parking is $30, concessions are $50 for a family of 4, and tickets are $150-$200 being at top of mind for the bottom 80% in this country. Things like NASCAR which caters more to middle America will take a hit….
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/FundMyMutualFund

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 10:34

Earnings Season Begins in Earnest

Tuesdays-Thursdays the next few weeks will be the heart of earnings season - we began today. Thus far I cannot make heads or tails of the action. Remember, our thesis we’ve been promoting all year - 2nd half 2008 estimates are far too high, especially fourth quarter hence guidance is going to have to be cut across many names; analysts are simply behind the ball. Since the dollar has rallied, what used to be safe haven (multinationals) who have been benefiting from a weak dollar, which is hiding pathetic organic growth, are going to see that benefit begin to erase. While CNBC cheered the multinational growth 1-3 quarters ago we were pointing out how much of it had nothing to do with “growth” and everything to do with a weakening US dollar. Now that will reverse. And now with the damage the credit contraction has done to the system we are adding another layer of bad onto what was already going to be poor. The question is how much of this is priced in, and how do the stocks react? While everyone has been focused on the credit situation I continue to believe the market is underestimating the coming earnings plunge due to the real economy. …
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/FundMyMutualFund

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 9:24

S&P stock screen

It’s been a while since we ran one of our screens! In the midst of all this turmoil and our continued posts on looking for Small Cap Value, some of our readers have asked us about interesting opportunities in the S&P.
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Original Source: ei-forum.com

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:56

Bookkeeping: Closing Foster Wheeler (FWLT) and CF Industries (CF)

I am closing 2 of the remaining 5 “global growth/commodity” positions - global engineering firm Foster Wheeler (FWLT) , and CF Industries (CF) which is a fertilizer maker that is focused more on nitrogen with some phosphates mixed in (no exposure to potash) We held both positions since day 1 in the fund, so these are among our last “original holdings”CF Industries (CF) we are closing just under $66, and was a …
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/FundMyMutualFund

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:39

$250 Billion investment in Banks

Well, the Paulson plan is well underway… who are the lucky ones:

Citi - 25 billion
JP Morgan - 25 billion
BOA - 12.5 billion
Merrill - 12.5 billion
Goldman - 10 billion
Morgan Stanley - 10 billion
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Original Source: ei-forum.com

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 5:43

Hank Listens Up

Treasury Said to Invest $250 Billion in U.S. BanksBy Robert Schmidt and Peter CookOct. 14 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. will invest about $125 billion in nine of the nation’s biggest financial institutions, including Citigroup Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., as part of a $250 billion effort to shore up the banking system.It seems like only a few weeks ago we here at NotMakingThisUp urged Hank Paulson—who at the time was pushing Congress for nearly a trillion dollars to buy bad assets from regretful bankers—to adopt, instead, the Warren Buffett plan of taking preferred equity stakes instead….
Original Source: jeffmatthewsisnotmakingthisup.blogspot.com

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 5:37

Donald Trump’s Best Words…

When asked, "Do you consider yourself a free market supporter?"
"Yes, and that’s why I feel uncomfortable, even though I think this action [Bank bailout] is great"
I have a love hate relationship with Donald Trump. But for someone to say, "hey you know I am not crazy about this, but it had to be done to […]

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Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/InvestorGeeks

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 4:52

Should You Sell A Dividend Stock After A Dividend Cut?

I am not a stock trader; I am a dividend and value based long-term buy-and-hold investor. When I add a stock to my dividend portfolio, it is my intention to …
Original Source: feedproxy.google.com

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 3:30

Warren Buffett on ‘Financial Leverage’

“Leverage,” he said, “is the only way a smart guy can go broke … You do smart things, you eventually get very rich. If you do smart things and use leverage and you do one wrong thing along the way, it could wipe you out, because anything times zero is zero. […]…
Original Source: www.valuestockplus.net

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 2:30

Enjoy the Rally But We Will Revisit the Stock Market Lows

We have had a very volatile three day period, and it does look like we have put in a bottom after a classic, stock market capitulation.

Thursday, October 9, 2008: S&P 500 opens at 988.42, and falls to 909.92 for a loss of almost 8%, a major drop.
After market, Thursday, October 9, Before Market on Friday, October 10: Great fear, and the sky seemed to be falling.
Friday, October 10: Market…
Original Source: techfarm.blogspot.com

  14 October, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 1:34

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