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A recent article in the Wall Street Journal serves as a great reminder to us long-term investors that when stocks are down, it is a good time to buy, hold, and diversify.
The Time Is Now
How do I know that now is a good time to buy stocks? Well, I don’t know that the stock market will not go down further, but I do know that the DOW was about 600 points higher in early 2000 than it is today. Therefore, historically speaking, stocks appear to be on sale. Maybe a quote by the ever astute Warren Buffett will help to encourage us to put our cash to work in this market:
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Original Source: dividendmoney.com
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 21:24
While we are still young, we should learn how to be financially savvy. We should get over the traditional ways of investing through properties and making bank deposits but instead let us learn the concept of stock investing or stock trading.
A short definition of stock investing or trading is the purchase of company stocks wherein you gain ownership, power and of course the capacity to earn profit. Unlike the interest offered for your bank or saving account, stock investment offers flexible profit rate that means you could earn bigger while the company gets bigger. It will definitely make you rich the easier and faster way.
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Original Source: networthmasters.com
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 20:51
Diane Francis of the Financial Post in Canada conducts a rare interview with Prem Watsa, Chairman of Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH/NYSE). As you doubtlessly know if you read this blog, Watsa keeps a very low profile nearly all of the time. So any time he agrees to field a few questions is a treat for those of us looking for wisdom from a truly successful investor….
Original Source: www.controlledgreed.com
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 18:49
… and that is with the war costs in an off the balance sheet account (just like our banks… and Enron - no I’m serious) Heck we just sent out $300B in the housing bill, with another $160B this spring so Americans would stimulate the economy and now Hank Paulson has an unlimited bazooka gun over and above the $300B to deploy into Fannie and Freddie - what’s not to love?And it assumes a recovered economy in ‘09. If you care about the long term health of the country (fiscally) and are a newer reader I recommend these 2 posts [M…
Original Source:
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 15:52
This is starting to get boring with CF Industries (CF) - all they do is demolish analysts estimates every quarter - at some point we start re-using the same hyperbole to describe these quarters. Now for those who have been long time blog readers you know this was once our top position [Oct 29, 07: #1 Position CF Industries (CF) Monster Quarter]…
Original Source:
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 13:48
Shares of The Blackstone Group L.P. (BX) have had more than their share of volatility since pricing their IPO at $31.00 in June of 2007. At the time, the deal was surrounded by criticism as Stephen Schwarzman the CEO pocketed one of the largest windfall profits in business history (not to mention the fact that […]
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Original Source:
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 13:34
Net Worth Masters members,
Last week, a step-by-step Forex home study course totally took the Forex community by storm…
-It’s called the “Forex Profit Accelerator”.
Well, if you’ve checked the website lately, then you know that only 39 copies of the course remain and the offer will be closed for good on Tuesday, July 29th, at 11:59pm Eastern (New York) time.
See the latest inventory count here:
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Original Source: networthmasters.com
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 11:31
I continue to believe food inflation (agflation) will replace energy inflation as the “beef” (pardon the pun) of choice in 2nd half of 2008, mostly due to the delayed effects of high input costs making their way through the “food” (sorry) chain. We’ve been on this beat very early [Aug 29, 2007: Inflation in Groceries - Fed Between a Rock and a Hard Place]…
Original Source:
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 11:00
I am selling 300 of 350 shares in the $46.60s to retain only a holding position in one of my favorite drillers in the energy patch, Atwood Oceanics (ATW). This reduces our stake from 1.4% of portfolio to 0.2%.This is, once again, the EXACT same pattern we have detailed in the weekly overview and especially last Friday. You should recognize it by now - stock price broken below support, now drifting back upward to test previous support (now resistance). If it breaks through, fine - we’ll miss a few points of upside. But I continue to marvel at how many charts both in the portfolio and my watch lists look like this. Which leads me to be anxious about both the stocks and the market as a whole. We’ll cut back and re-assess when the chart either breaks down or strengthens. If we lucky and the market really tails off we might be able to pick this back up in the mid $30s where it has some old support levels. Not counting on it, but now that we are mostly out of it, I wouldn’t mind. ;)…
Original Source:
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 8:53
As always we’ll be looking at a smorgasbord of earnings, but with such volume it is hard for me to make time to do a daily preview. I am reviewing about 25-30 names a night in various industries to see what the “reality” is out there versus relying on government reports or the punditry spin.For now, here are our holdings for the week; as usual I generally cut back positions going into earnings because of the 2 sided random risk. Sometimes I make exceptions. This causes us to miss those pops off of “surprises” but generally keeps us out of the way of major blow ups. Last quarter in fact we did not have a single substantial “oops our guidance is 1 cent less than the analysts wanted so our stock dropped 30% in the first 10 minutes of after hours trading”. I’d like to keep it that way but probability says with 50 some long positions we will get slammed somewhere along the line…….
Original Source:
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 8:35
My current favorite stock on which to read Seeking Alpha articles is Potash (POT: 202.81 +0.54 +0.27%), especially the comments. POT has a seriously rabid following of shareholders who climb the walls anytime anyone suggests the stock is not worth significantly more than its share price. I do believe that Potash is a great cash cow of a company but future earnings and pricing growth may not be at a level to justify the recent ($240) stock price.
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Original Source: timplaehn.com
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 8:13
My current favorite stock on which to read Seeking Alpha articles is Potash (POT: 203.11 +0.84 +0.42%), especially the comments. POT has a seriously rabid following of shareholders who climb the walls anytime anyone suggests the stock is not worth significantly more than its share price. I do believe that Potash is a great cash cow of a company but future earnings and pricing growth may not be at a level to justify the recent ($240) stock price.
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Original Source: timplaehn.com
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 8:13
The latest edition of the Festival of Stocks is being hosted this week by Geoff Gannon of Gannon On Investing. Geoff tells me he’s including my post from last week linking Jim Grant’s Wall Street Journal piece on the absence of public outrage over recent government bailouts.There will be loads more stuff of interest, so be sure to stop by Geoff’s blog when you get a chance.And, for those of you arriving here via the Festival, welcome and take a look around and see if this is to your liking. Controlled Greed is about my adventures as a stock picker, and other things of interest to me along the value investing journey….
Original Source: www.controlledgreed.com
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 6:37
Banks struggling to recover from multibillion-dollar losses on real estate are curtailing loans to American businesses, depriving even healthy companies of money for expansion and hiring.So says today’s New York Times, and they back it up with some pretty gory detail.Drew Greenblatt, president of Marlin Steel Wire Products, figured it would be easy to get a $300,000 bank loan to finance a new robot for his factory in Baltimore. His company, which makes parts for makers of home appliances, is growing and profitable, he said. His expansion would add three new jobs to an economy hungry for work….
Original Source: jeffmatthewsisnotmakingthisup.blogspot.com
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 6:17
Another quality quarter from Sohu.com (SOHU) and an interesting ploy to extract value from the market by a proposed IPO of its gaming unit Changyou.com. As in the recent past [Apr 28: Sohu.com Crushes Estimates - Up 15%], the advertising arm did well but the gaming arm did stupendous. This should bode very well for our pure play Chinese gaming stock …
Original Source:
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 6:16
Quite a comprehensive story via Barron’s on Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) - worth a read. Touches on a complaint I’ve been voicing of late - how few true growth opportunities there are outside the now hated commodity complex… which means one must “really pay up” for other growth opportunities. S…
Original Source:
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 6:00
Over the weekend I reorganized the Watch List of stocks I have a page of on this site. The Watch List consists of stock that I have run across for future deeper research or waiting for their particular sector to show some signs of life. The list has been growing faster than I have had time to do research, so I decided to put up a few categories.
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Original Source: timplaehn.com
28 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis |
Comments (0) @ 4:39
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