What Lessons Did You Learn or Relearn from the Recent Market Crash?

The recent market correction has taught (again) every investor a thing or two. Although the recovery in the past weeks has given investors some relief, but some of the losses might as well be permanent loss of capital. We started a thread, ask our users to share the lessons he/she learned in the market […]…
Original Source: www.valuestockplus.net

  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 23:27

Tim McElvaine Doesn’t Just Talk The Talk, He Walks The Walk

If you’re a regular and longtime reader of Controlled Greed, you’re familiar with Tim McElvaine. His a value manager based in British Columbia, Canada, and he worked for Peter Cundill for more than 10 years.McElvaine sometimes takes a while to post his fund reports and letters to investors on his website. But I noticed the other day some new stuff has been posted — which make for some great reading. I bring to your attention the three items posted at the top (for the year 2008) and the 2007 annual report posted below that….
Original Source: www.controlledgreed.com

  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 19:50

Akeena Solar: Worst Solar Stock

AKNS - Akeen Solar (NASDAQ) - (Closing Price - $5.03)
I’ve looked into the financials of several solar companies and Akeena Solar is by far the worst solar company I’ve checked out based on fundamentals. Akeena Solar is a good example of what not to look for in a stock.
For the last five quarters the net […]…
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 19:41

GD: General Dynamics Set to Regain Altitude

My latest column is up at RealMoney.
General Dynamics operates through four business groups: aerospace, combat systems, marine systems and information systems and technology. The way I see it, the sum of these parts is greater than the whole.
The aerospace division consists of Gulfstream business jets and accounted for 18% of the company’s sales in 2007. I believe investors have some doubts about whether the pace of private jet sales can be sustained in an economic downturn. Although the company’s backlog extends past 2010, investors are likely to react more strongly to new orders than to shipments from backlog. It’s worth noting, though, that more than half of Gulfstream sales are outside the U.S. Another 35% of revenue accrued to the information systems and technology group, which provides electronics and software primarily used for defense purposes.
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 13:21

Things You Would of Never Said 8 Days Ago

“Thank god for financials and homebuilders - without them my portfolio would be a disaster!”For all those who think shorting is easy, ask the fellas who stuck around too long in Ultrashort Financials (SKF)….
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 13:12

Amazon.com (AMZN) for Gamblers

Thanks to a reader for pointing this chart out - it will an interesting report in Seattle tomorrow for sure.On the pro side for this company - we have the thesis that pooring Americans, when not walking the aisles of Walmart (WMT), will save money by shopping at Amazon.com (AMZN) - no shipping costs (for orders over $25) and no gas usage by said consumer to actually get to the store.On the con side -well that was the thesis for E…
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 11:44

ICON (ICLR) - They Never Miss and Give Us a Chance at Cheap Shares

Agh! Yes, I want to be in the “healthcare is safe” joy ride, but only with a handful of selected stocks - ICON (ICLR) is one of them. But they had to, yet again, provide an outstanding quarter; with yet another increase in guidance and yet again not allowing me in at cheaper valuations. (couldn’t they miss, just once?) Now I like healthcare as much as the next guy (ok, not really) but even with the newest guidance this stock trades at 33x forward estimates. But perhaps that is the price we pay for ’safety’ in this day and age….
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 11:30

Comrade Bob Stashes the Cash — After Trashing a Nation

Reading reports on the agreement signed by Robert Mugabe and Morgan Tsvangirai in Harare, Zimbabwe yesterday is double disappointing. Firstly, because the “solution” as announced has all the earmarks of being a sham. And that’s because the opposition in Zimbabwe will likely have no power.And, that’s entirely apart from reporting done by Africa Confidential that M…
Original Source: www.controlledgreed.com

  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:59

Bookkeping: Closing Ciena (CIEN)

I cry uncle on Ciena (CIEN). I reintroduced this name to the portfolio as we searched for a new tech name to take advantage of the stupidity of “each time oil goes down $3, hedge funds run into technology”. [Jun 20: Adding Tech Exposure with Ciena] I thought the logic of that thesis was utterly stupid but it was what was “working” at the time, so my logic was I wanted something to go up (a sector or some names) when oil corrected….
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:49

Be a wise investor

Are you a wise investor?
Investors need to consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of a mutual fund carefully before deciding to invest. This is basically included on the mutual fund’s prospectus along with the other information about the mutual fund. Prospectuses can be cited through several trading site or through a trusted office. Apparently, such documents should be read carefully before investing.
…
Original Source: networthmasters.com

  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:44

More bad news for the anti-ethanol crowd

USDA_DOE_biofuels_letter_61208.pdf (application/pdf Object).
The link above is the Dept. of Energy’s response to several questions concerning biofuels impact on food and energy prices. The questions are from Senator Jeff Bingaman, Chairman of the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. The 16 page report is in question-and-answer form and here are some selected quotes:
…
Original Source: timplaehn.com

  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:43

Stock Investing

Make your money grow. Don’t let it sleep in your pocket or in your bank account earning low interest. Learn about stock investing, get a share in a company and get rich. To prove this right, you should take these three steps one by one. First, learn about stock investing, know the types of stocks and determine which one could earn bigger. Check the company background, examine its growth and development and foresee how much profit you could derive from it. Second, don’t be afraid to take the risk of investing your money. Be positive and have faith with the company that you choose. And third, patiently wait for your money to grow. Surely, it will.
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Original Source: networthmasters.com

  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:22

On Liquid Courage

There are two recent pieces on morality and credit worth reading. One is written by David Brooks; the other by Jim Grant.

Brook’s piece is good; Grant’s is better. Brooks takes the matter as far as he can. He sees the importance of the everyday examples that constitute a culture; but fails to see the overwhelming importance of incentives – incentives that have been both perverse and pervasive throughout the third millennium.
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 7:58

Bookkeeping: Adding to A-Power Energy (APWR)

The world no longer needs wind because crude is falling to the $120s. The hedge funds told me. I am going to stick my hand out, and ignore them, to catch the falling knife that is A-Power Energy Generation (APWR) - which is filling a gap in it’s chart at $23. The stock is currently at the $23.30s range so that is close enough for me. This was the name that I did not cut back on in the low $30s last week, trying to curtail trading velocity in the fund, but this market smirked at that decision as all gains must be harvested, lest said gains are quickly demolished within a few days….
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 7:50

XTO Energy (XTO) Picks a Bad Day to Announce Earnings

XTO Energy (XTO) put out a bevy of good news today but since crude oil is down a few bucks today - the supercomputers and their trader friends running this market will have nothing of it. Down 8-9%.Let’s review all the good… err… bad newsEarnings up 33%XTO Energy Inc (XTO) on Tuesday said second-quarter earnings rose 33 percent on higher production and natural gas prices. Net income in the quarter rose to $575 million, or $1.11 a share, from $432 million, or 91 cents a share, last year. Excluding one-time items, the company said it earned $1.07 a share in the quarter. Analysts, on average, had expected the company to earn $1.04 a share, according to Reuters Estimates….
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 7:25

Bookkeeping: Raising Cash with Some Sales of Yingli Green Energy (YGE)

Simply as a cash raising exercise I am cutting 600 of 1400 shares of Yingli Green Energy (YGE) in the $16.10s range. The last 600 shares of this name were bought on Jul 2 in the mid to upper $14s so we’ll take this 10%ish gain out in this layer and build some cash reserves. This takes our stake down from 2.0% to 1.1% in this specific name. Nothing specific to this name which I find very undervalued. But it is part of a larger basket and at 2% of the portfolio doesn’t need to be quite so large a part of the portfolio into the hedge funds “bless” this sector as “an area we can run up 60% for no good reason before we short them back down 50%”….
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 7:04

The Survivor’s Club: The Closed-End Funds That Have Seen It All

Among the articles in the current Barron’s catching my eye is from 2004. That’s right, twenty-oh-four. It’s linked from Barron’s piece on J&W Seligman, a money management firm dating back to the Civil War, selling out to Ameriprize Financial.Seligman’s most famous fund is Tri-Continental, the closed-end fund launched in August 1929 — just three months before the crash. That’s where Barron’s links back to their O…
Original Source: www.controlledgreed.com

  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:49

Jacobs Engineering Group Earnings

Another solid report from global infrastructure company Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC). This sector is always a risk going into earnings, even more so than the typical earnings risk, because despite great long term fundamentals they have very large contracts and the “lumpiness” between one quarter and another does not work well with Wall Street’s infatuation with “must hit the number perfectly or we will destroy your stock to the tune of 20% down”….
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:45

Roche Surprises Genentech With Takeover Bid

(NewsVisual, powered by IntellectSpace) — Genentech Inc (NYSE: DNA) was in for a surprise when partner Roch Holdings AG made it’s $44 billion takeover offer. The move could significantly change the way the two do business from here on out.Roche already controls 56% of the biotechnology company, though G…
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  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:08

Your Greatest Wealth Building Asset

You may think your greatest wealth building asset is the Chevron (CVX) stock you purchased 3 years ago. Even though your brilliant purchase has appreciated over 50% in the last 3 years in the face of a bear market, it is not your greatest wealth building asset….
Original Source:

  22 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 3:30

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