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Bookkeeping: ‘Rising Tide’ Performance Week 50

Week 50 performance of the mutual fundComments: It seems like weeks ago but we began this week fearing if the current system of funding home mortgages in the United States was to remain upright in current form. Once we were assured the government will print enough money as it takes to prop up…. err support…err promise to support but only in worst case scenario and don’t you dare call it a bailout… the GSEs, and then financials as a whole - took off. And we had our “rotation” because as you know in this stock market, we cannot have all sectors working at once; so if “early cycle” stocks work than that g…
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 13:45

Gloating about SKF

I hate to do this but I feel a bit good about the fact that the Ultrashort Financials ProShares (SKF: 138.00 -7.76 -5.32%) has dropped by 35% since Tuesday. This ETF is designed to give twice the gain as the loss of the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF: 20.67 +0.41 +2.02%). Also, double the losses if XLF rises.
Over the past couple of months I have believed the share prices of many good financial institutions have been driven down to stupid levels. At the same time my reading of comments at online articles about financial stocks showed a tremendous level of belief that the U.S. financial system and companies were in a death spiral. I hope some of those naysayers were among those who bought 35 million shares of SKF on Tuesday and now have lost a third of their investment.
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Original Source: timplaehn.com

18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 13:26

Steady income in a volatile sector

What would you think of a stock that had the following characteristics:

Current yield: 7.7%
No dividend quirks: Not a LP, MLP or foreign stock with withholding rules.
Steady dividend growth: 2004: $1.55 per share, 2005: $2.00 per share, 2006: $2.09 per share, 2007: $2.20 per share and a minimum of $2.27 for 2008.
The quarterly dividend has never been reduced (and usually increased) since the company’s spinoff in 2004.
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Original Source: timplaehn.com

18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 13:08

CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: In the feature, “Sucker’s Rally? Stock Gains Likely to Be Short-Lived” which analyst used the phrase, “sucker’s rally”?

In the feature, “Sucker’s Rally? Stock Gains Likely to Be Short-Lived” which analyst used the phrase, “sucker’s rally”?
“It’s a sucker’s rally,” Kathy Boyle, president of Chapin Hill Advisors, says of this week’s market move.

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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) admin @ 12:09

Wilbur Ross Believes M&A Activity in Coal Will be Unprecedented in Next 12 Months

First, thanks for a reader for highlighting this story.Second, I always like when smart people who have made a lot of money agree with my thesis that aside from being great secular growth stories, that any day one can wake up and find your coal stock a target of acquisition.Third, the stock prices in the short run have very little to do with the long run. I continue to stand by these names as the hedge funds tell us the world is slowing (gosh I was on that beat 9 months ago, glad they finally caught on) and its time to buy C…
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 11:52

CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: In a July 15 CNBC interview, Jim Rogers used which metaphor in discussing a Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac bailout?

In a July 15 CNBC interview, Jim Rogers used which metaphor in discussing a Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac bailout?
Band-aids for cancer.

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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) admin @ 11:23

Bookkeeping: Restarting Kinross Gold (KGC) Position

Since I am not sure what exactly the market will “hate” next week or in the weeks to come; it seems to change by the day; I want to build up ‘protection’ (hedging) another way, and we’ll use gold. Gold is more of a sentiment indicator than anything to do with fundamentals. During this market rebound the Gold ETF (GLD) has not really fallen much - that is not a good sign. Remember, gold is the ultimate Armaggedon trade and in the past an inflation hedge (although it appears black gold has taken that mantle since last fall). So with the “all clear” signal once again launched by CNBC (”it’s all priced in”) it seems curious that gold is not correcting. Frankly with all the paper money being printed off (and or proposed) along with my assumption of yet another stealing of your grandchildren’s future (i.e. the ‘2nd stimulus plan’ I believe will be coming around election time) I am surprised gold is not $1200-$1400 :)…
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 9:35

CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: In the Fast Money post, “No Guts No Glory - Pt. II” what animal metaphor is used to describe value investing?In the Fast Money post, “No Guts No Glory - Pt. II” what animal metaphor is used to describe value investing?In

In the Fast Money post, “No Guts No Glory - Pt. II” what animal metaphor is used to describe value investing?
For her latest amazing feat Finerman puts her head directly into the lion’s mouth.
Sponsor: Financial Education Everything you need to know about finance
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 9:35

Bookkeeping: Layering Out of some Mercadolibre (MELI) and Ciena (CIEN)

Just raising a bit of cash on some bounces in the technology group - this market appears quite directionless and after our cursory oversold bounce the direction from here has no clear trend. Monday and Friday “they” liked commodities”, Tuesday - Thursday “they” hate them. And vice versa for other things. Rudderless action. I was hoping for more of a sustained bounce into which I could build some short exposure but so far it’s been relatively pathetic. Again, until the S&P crosses back over 1275 I consider this to be nothing more than white noise….
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 9:12

Annual Report Service

As a fundamental investor, I think it is important to read a company’s regulatory filings before investing. This is a big reason why Stock Market Beat has partnered with the Annual Report Service to bring you free access to download and hardcopy investor kit information on thousands of public companies worldwide. You don’t even pay for shipping! You can follow the “Annual Reports” links on the site (next to the club symbol), or just click below: h…
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:37

CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: In Bob Pisani’s “ETFs: An Investor’s Primer” which fund-accessible nations are named?

In Bob Pisani’s “ETFs: An Investor’s Primer” which fund-accessible nations are named?
For stocks, the world is your oyster with ETFs: you can buy sectors like healthcare or energy. You can also buy into country-specific funds like Taiwan, Singapore, or Brazil, or regional funds like Asia and Europe.
Though Asia and Europe are also mentioned, they do not qualify as “nations.”
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:10

Pickens Plan Video

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Original Source: marketanomalies.blogspot.com

18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:05

Is the bull back?

After two days of bullish trading or possibly the largest short squeeze in recent history, the market is looking bullish again. Citi reported a better than expected 2nd quarter loss that will hopefully rally the markets again today. …
Original Source: marketanomalies.blogspot.com

18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 7:29

Bookkeeping: Closing Both Indian Banks

I have been waiting for some sort of financial bounce to close out both the Indian banks - unfortunately we have given a lot of unrealized profits away in this “death to buy and hold” market, but despite these gosh awful charts we have been able to sock away $2500 in gains in ICICI Bank (IBN) and $1100 in HDFC Bank (HDB). Obviously profits were far higher say 60-90 days ago. The former has bounced from $21 to $30 (+42%), and the latter $61 to $76 (+25%) in the past week so it’s a better time to sell than in the panic. Why Indian banks are selling off as bad or worse than their US counterparts is beyond me but that’s the market logic….
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 7:03

Mechel (MTL) Stock Still in World of Hurt

Mechel (MTL) has hit my “target” of $40 to add more, but it is close enough now to the 200 day moving average ($38) that I’d prefer to wait and see if we can get that price. It has been an interesting exercise of late in the metals space - first goes Vale (RIO) now goes Mechel (MTL). Interestingly the market is assuming both are on the hunt for acquisitions. We are in the upper $39s now and this remains one of my favorites ideas - so I’d love to build it up at $38. It is amazing to see these forward multiples compress. S…
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:52

Did I Mention Healthcare is Safe? Gilead Sciences (GILD) Down 9% on Earnings

Another “safe” sector - healthcare… here you can lose 9% instead of 12% elsewhere aka “it’s safe” ;)Gilead Sciences (GILD) breaks down below its 50 day moving average this AM, on a 9% drop. Did I mention earnings season is a complete mine field? Even in the punditry’s “safe havens”. 200 day moving average is in the low $48s which might make it interesting so I can have exposure to such “safety”….
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:36

CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: Which “eye-catching” word or phrase is NOT found in managing editor Allen Wastler’s Two-Way Street blog post of July 8?

Which “eye-catching” word or phrase is NOT found in managing editor Allen Wastler’s Two-Way Street blog post of July 8?
Perp-walk is not in the post.

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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:02

CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: In the July 17 Mad Money post, “Oil Down, Banks Up?” which fictional realm does Mad-man stock guru Jim Cramer reference?

In the July 17 Mad Money post, “Oil Down, Banks Up?” which fictional realm does Mad-man stock guru Jim Cramer reference?
The past two days have seemed like Bizarro World in the markets.

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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 4:05

Weekly Links: Carnivals & Articles - July 18, 2008

Each Friday I highlight the Carnivals I participated in over the past week, along with any notable articles that I came across. For those readers not familiar with carnivals, it’s where personal finance bloggers submit their best articles of the week with one blog serving as the host. The entries are separated into various categories such as Investing, Credit, Debt, Budgeting, Frugality, Wealth Building, Money Management, Financial Planning, Insurance, Taxes, The Economy, Real Estate, et. al….
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18 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 3:30

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