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Shorts Sent Scrambling, But Need More Signs of Bottom

Holy moly, the long awaited oversold snap back rally has arrived! Time to locate those cash bundles under the spare bedroom mattress and buy, buy, buy!  Eh, well not exactly but after 6 consecutive weeks of market declines, it was good to see the green return in a big way.  While I don't consider […]
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Original Source: selfinvestors.com


  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 20:40
DTLK Q2 08 Results

DTLK - Datalink (NASDAQ) - (Closing Price - $4.95) 
Datalink reported solid Q2 results today and the company guided for another good quarter in Q3.
In Q2 Datalink reported revenue of 49.71 million and EPS of 0.08. Revenue improved 4% sequentially and 23% year over year. EPS increased by 0.04 sequentially and by 0.11 year over year. For […]…
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 19:44
Massive Earnings Thursday

It appears that the pattern for the next few weeks is light earnings periods on Mondays, nearly non existent Fridays (except this week) and jam packed Tuesdays-Thursdays, especially the Thursdays.Before we go forward let’s look back at names we highlighted this week - we talked about the importance of Wells Fargo (WFC)…
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 17:15
CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: In the Cramer blog post, “How to Survive the Banking Meltdown”, which bank ranked “Almost as Bad as the Worst”?

In the Cramer blog post, “How to Survive the Banking Meltdown”, which bank ranked “Almost as Bad as the Worst”?
Almost as Bad as the Worst: National City (NCC), Washington Mutual (WM) and First Horizon (FHN)

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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 12:03
MSCI Inc. (MXB) - Stock Off Following Secondary

MSCI Inc. (MXB) is a recent spinoff from Morgan Stanley (MS).  The company has been under pressure after its last quarterly earnings announcement which left investors wishing for more.  Zachstocks covered the stock last week in the wake of the sell-off.  Although the article raises concerns about a high multiple during a contracting economic environment, […]
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 12:02
Wells Fargo (WFC) Impresses Me

I’ve been a fan of Wells Fargo (WFC) ever since I saw an interview by the CEO where, when asked about all the exotic mortgages happening, said he had not even heard of some of them. Sometimes good old fashioned banking works. Warren Buffet has also owned it since 2001 so they are doing something correct. Now, Wells Fargo is in a bad neighborhood (financials) centered in the center of the tsunami (California) but as I’ve said …
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 11:30
CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: According to a By The Numbers post, “Biggest One Day Drops in Oil”, how much did the S&P Energy Sector drop Tuesday?

According to a By The Numbers post, “Biggest One Day Drops in Oil”, how much did the S&P Energy Sector drop Tuesday?
On the news, the S&P Energy Sector is down nearly 3%.

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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 11:01
Bookkeeping: LDK Solar (LDK) v Alpha Natural Resources (ANR)

Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) has retreated a good 15 points since this AM’s piece, while Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) has held up (bounced actually a bit) from where I bought it. Now the case is ridiculously compelling to add to ANR to play the arbitrage of the deal - as a reader (and all you emailers point out) So maybe I lucked out because instead of paying up near $120 this AM (where the arbitrage was still in A…
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 9:32
CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: According to the CNBC.com special report, Powering the Planet, which is the “biggest” U.S. geothermal player?

According to the CNBC.com special report, Powering the Planet, which is the “biggest” U.S. geothermal player?
The biggest US players are firms in which geothermal is only a portion of their business. This includes Chevron (CVX) b


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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 9:04
Economics 101: A Fiscal Policy Dilemma

How Long Will Economic Recovery Take?
As troubling as these times look, we all assume that eventually things will change and the economy will once again be robust, financial markets will stabilize, and commodity prices will revert to the mean.
In the mean time, however, many financial pundits are taking their best guess as to how long the recovery process will take. We are constantly barraged in the media with a mixed bag of opinions, all of which are given without request mind you, and all trying to influence government policy makers to either reign in pricing or make borrowing money easier.

Original Source: dividendmoney.com


  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 9:04
Bookkeeping: More Nat Gas Buys

Purely on technical reasonsAdding to EOG Resources (EOG) which has now fallen from $134 to $106 in under 2 weeks, now sits at its 200 day moving average. Taking it up from 0.9% stake to 1.7%.Encore Acquisition (EAC) is showing some nice relative strength and refusing to sell off below the 50 day moving average of just over $64. Doesn’t mean it won’t, if the sector continues to break down - but so far it has not. So adding some here in the $65s and pushing it up from a 1.3% stake to 1…
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:55
Earnings coming shortly, what happens now?

I have been thinking about this topic for a couple of days, and the market results so far today (11:00 AM) seem to be giving an answer, so I better start with the question. The stocks I invest in and follow are of the smaller cap variety with little or no news between the quarterly earnings reports. Most of these have been hit hard by the recent market down turn, even though I believe their earnings and/or growth vectors remain intact. The question is: How will the stock prices react if the trends and projections from earlier times (last quarter!) are intact? Will stocks that have fallen 30%, 40%, 50% regain that ground, or does the market think we are in a new world, where even well run financial companies are only worth 3 to 4 times earnings?

Original Source: timplaehn.com


  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:53
Bookkeeping: New Stake in Natural Gas player Goodrich Petroleum (GDP)

I’ve built quite a basket of natural gas stocks; unlike coal or fertilizer where I can really break down the industry and pick specific favorites (and there is a limited roster of candidates), there are many many many public natural gas companies. I won’t profess to being an industry expert and knowing which of these 50-60 companies is the “true undiscovered value” like I could do in coal or fertilizer. So instead of building large positions in any 1 or 2, I’m spreading my net over a larger pool of fish here….
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:30
Barry: Idiots Fiddle While Rome Burns

I enjoy reading Barry Ritholtz’s blog as he feeds us the clues on our road to financial ruin. He has built a tremendous following by sharing the bad and parsing away the good financial reports that drive the markets daily. Today I thought he gave a very good rant against the political class that has a significant responsibility in getting us to this position.
T…
Original Source: timplaehn.com


  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:29
CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: According to the Featured Slideshow, “10 World Famous Gemstones”, which ruler owned the “cursed” Koh-i-Noor diamond?

According to the Featured Slideshow, “10 World Famous Gemstones”, which ruler owned the “cursed” Koh-i-Noor diamond?
Its name means “Mountain of Light” and it’s said to be cursed. Legend says that whoever comes into its possession will one day rule the world.  Coincidentally, Queen Victoria and Queen Elizabeth once had ownership of it. However, no man risks wearing it because all men who have had possession of it suffered misfortune or even untimely death….
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:07
Yahoo-Google Ad Partnership Comes Under Fire

(NewsVisual, powered by IntellectSpace) — Yahoo Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) and Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) may only get so far in their partnership, as Congress entered the picture to find out if the deal, an attempt at fending of Microsoft Corp’s (…
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 7:17
Bookeeping: Out Homex (HXM) In Cleveland Cliffs (CLF)

I need to raise cash since I want to buy more Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) on this 10% drop - so I can either (a) liquidate some short exposure or (b) shuffle some exposure from 1 bucket to another on the long side.Since I still don’t see any signs of a real bottom, I’ve chosen the latter. Hard to pick what to sell, but in a pinch I’ve decided to close Mexican homebuilder Homex (H…
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:55
Thoughts on Cleveland Cliffs (CLF), Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) Deal

First, I have a flood of emails this morning on this subject. I don’t have time to answer each individually so please consider this topic my email response. Iron ore and coal miner Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (NYSE:CLF - News) said on Wednesday that it would acquire Alpha Natural Resources Inc (NYSE:A…
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:12
WSJ: The History of Bailouts

Readers, if you find any happy or at least neutral economic stories please email me and I’ll be happy to post one. While I take satisfaction intellectually that just about all my predictions are playing out one by one, I’d like to post something happy every so often about the economy - I’ve been searching high and low and aside from the boom in the yacht owners it is hard to find one. ;)Anyhow, on to T…
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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:10
CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: In the CNBC.com feature, “Can You Beat The Market With This ETF Portfolio?”, which ETF is weighted 30%?

In the CNBC.com feature, “Can You Beat The Market With This ETF Portfolio?”, which ETF is weighted 30%?
SPY 30%

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  16 Julio, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 6:02
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