Change to Income and Growth Portfolios

On this blog I track a couple of portfolios, a Growth and an Income portfolio. The components of these protfolios are stocks that I have researched and believe will provide above market returns over time. The Income Portfolio consists of high yield dividend paying stocks. The Growth Portfolio is a little more complicated, holding growth companies, turn around and contrarian plays, and stocks that provide some trading opportunities.
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  30 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 5:01

The Most Dangerous Investment

The most dangerous investment is not investing in hedge funds, or even in derivatives. Though very risky, investing in penny stocks or day trading is not the most dangerous investment. Neither is investing in gold, or other commodities. Though investing in emerging markets focused on countries with unsettled governments is quite risky, it is still not at the top of the list. Even “investing” in lottery tickets is not the most dangerous investment….
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  30 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 3:30

Now Available: The Four Filters Invention of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger

I received the news that Bud Labitan has released his first book entitled The Four Filters: Invention of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. As you might recall, I provided a s…
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  30 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 3:28

New Stock Pick: AMR

AMR - American Airlines (NYSE) - (Closing Price - $8.53)
The stock prices of airlines have taken quite a hit in the last year as speculators sent the price of oil up to record levels. In the past few days oil has pulled back from its record highs and the airlines have started to rally. I […]…
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 22:15

Visa Inc. (V) - Down, no Up, It’s Everywhere (you want to be)

After reporting earnings after the close Monday, Visa Inc. (V) traded in a schizophrenic pattern Tuesday ending the day at a new record high. The stock closed at $80.88 which is 84% above the offering price for those of you keeping score at home. This after gapping down more than three dollars shortly after the […]
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) admin @ 22:00

SILC Q1 08 Results

SILC - Silicom Limited (NASDAQ) - (Closing Price - $9.50) 
Silicom Ltd. announced their first quarter 2008 results yesterday and reported an increase in revenue but flat growth in earnings. Amazingly, the stock price has dropped more than 25% since the news.
Silicom reported revenue of 7.70 million which was up 27% compared to Q1 2007 and […]…
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 21:04

Harbinger’s "Midas of Misery"

By way of Sivaram’s Can Turtles Fly? blog, I found this BusinessWeek feature on Philip Falcone, founder of Harbinger Capital Partners.Those of us shareholders in Media General (MEG/NYSE) know the name because Harbinger owns more than 18% of the Class A shares. And also because last week Harbinger succeeded in electing its three nominees to Media General’s Board of Directors….
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 18:46

Update: Terra Nitrogen Post

Yesterday, I wrote a post on how the dividend payout of Terra Nitrogen Co. LP (TNH: 138.32 -6.70 -4.62%) will change going forward. To recap, the partnership agreement between Terra Industries (TRA: 38.17 -3.13 -7.58%) and Terra Nitrogen gives Terra Industries, as the owner of the general partner, increasing percentages of TNH’s distributable cash when said cash exceeds 71.5¢ per share, maxing out at 50% of distributable cash when the amount per share exceed $1.045.
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 14:49

Earnings Review - What Did We Learn by Ignoring CNBC & Government Reports?

First the market - we continue to cling in a tiny range… can’t get over that S&P 1400 level no matter what. All week everyone sits on their hands and waits for the Gods from D.C. to tell us what they do with the peons… we expect 25 basis point and then statements saying balances are risked, we care about inflation blah blah. Or maybe even no cut. Either way it doesn’t matter much - these are long term situations yet not a trader on Wall Street can hit buy or sell this week until they see the action. This has to be the most telegraphed “we are stopping after this meeting” I’ve ever seen but still the blackjack players are waiting to see the knee jerk reaction before placing chips. Will anyone care in October 2008 if rates are 2 or 2.25%? No. But for tomorrow it’s the most important thing in the world. I’m more interested in Friday’s piece of fiction from the government - you know, the monthly “no seriously - unemployment is not an issue” report….
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 13:52

Baxter CEO Parkinson Suggests Criminal Intent with regard to Heparin Contamination

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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 12:03

New Energy Finance - Nex - Weekly Review

Time again for my weekly recap on the performance of the New Energy Finance renewable energy index -NEX for last week. For investors, the performance of the NEX is tracked by the PowerShares Global Clean Energy Fund (PBD: 27.46 -0.38 -1.36%).
Last week the NEX gained 0.8%, tenths better than the NASDAQ and S&P 500. The top performing sector was wind energy, gaining 4.3%. Solar energy was the laggard sector, losing 1.4%. Overall, 3 sectors were positive and 4 in negative territory.
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 11:11

Visa (V) Vs. Mastercard (MA): Earnings Results

Now that both credit card behemoths have issued earnings results (Visa for the first time as a public company) I thought it would be interesting to compare the results from each side by side.  As you'll see, both companies beat analyst estimates and reported great quarters which were fueled by international growth and big […]

  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) admin @ 11:01

Why won’t the financial crisis end?

Jim Jubak’s perspective:

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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 10:57

GM Corp Makes Tactical Decision to Cut Production of Pickup Trucks and SUVs

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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 10:54

Housing Stocks Continue to Ignore the News

At this point the “Decoupling” between reality and the stocks in some areas is reaching amusing proportions. I own 2 homebuilders, not because I believe in any imminent rebound, but because no amount of bad news can bring them down anymore. In fact, days like this are exactly why I own them - to counterbalance the commodity / global growth positions I own such beauties as Lennar (LEN) up 4%.So when I put on my stock jockey hat I say “everything will be fine in 6 months, buy buy buy”. And that’s about the depth of my analysis….
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 10:50

Agco (AG) Unfairly Hit on its Guidace

Agco (AG) is a former fund holding that remains my favorite equipment name; but as I’ve stated in the past I am using the fertilizer names as my proxy on the group due to the extra risks associated with equipment (plus the pricing power in fertilizer is unmatched). You can see from the chart at bottom of the entry that despite great fundamentals, the farm equipment charts look nothing like the fertilizer charts, so this focus on a “theme” (agriculture boom) but deciding how best to ride said theme, is important. I am highlighting t…
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 9:33

Bookkeeping: Beginning XTO Energy (XTO) Stake

This will add to my basket of natural gas stocks; XTO Energy (XTO) is my 3rd name in the group… this is a technical buy - I have a watch list of about 15 names, and XTO fell to its 50 day moving average today, so I begin my stake. This company seems very aggressive and has been (and looks to continue to) make acquisitions…Technically the stock has retreated from a high of $70 a few days ago to its 50 day moving average. The 200 day moving average is down at $54, where I would love to add in scale to this position. My other natural gas positions have yet to reach their 50 day moving averages but when they do, I plan to add more layers in….
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 9:19

Sterlite Industries (SLT) Reported this Weekend

I missed this earnings report from Sterlite Industries (SLT), but the company continues to look good. While copper is not necessarily my favorite metal, the company is branching out into various base metals (zinc) and more importantly is located right in the center of the decades long boom coming in Asia. The stock has been very range bound, but I think this reflects a weak India market in 2008 more than anything… the past few sessions the stock finally is responding. Now the ironic thing is these countries who are actually prospering have the exact opposite problem we have - their currencies are strong, and hence they suffer in currency translation……
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:58

United Airlines and US Airways Could be Contemplating a Merger Deal, Reports Suggest

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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:43

Quick Word about Commodities

Commodity stocks are weak. No shocker; I’ve written for 3 weeks now they are getting more extended by the day/week and due for a meaningful pullback. I was early in my comments since the stocks kept running. I’ve written for 2 weeks now that as the Fed signals it is done cutting we’ll get a knee jerk dollar rally and the robots that are hedge fund traders will sell off commodities. That “rotation” is now happening. [S…
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  29 Abril, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:14

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