The World Has Changed (2)

On March 17, I said that the world has changed. I wrote.
I will not keep you in suspense, but the world changing event is the fact that the Fed has allowed investment banks to come to the Fed bank teller for money. That has changed everything. What this single action means is that investment banks […]
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Original Source: www.pheedo.com

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 12:15

Arm Chair Politics On Europe

When I invest one of the things that I do is get feedback from the locals. If I am investing in Latin America I get a local contact that gives me the lay of the land in South America. I happen to be lucky because I have family that lives in South America, North America, […]

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Original Source: www.pheedo.com

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 12:03

Stock Analysis: AFLAC Inc. (AFL)

Linked here is a PDF copy of my detailed analysis of AFLAC Inc. (AFL). Below are some highlights from the above linked analysis:Company Description: …
Original Source: bp2.blogger.com/_XUD5K9wgUGI/Rz-Sr58yph

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 12:02

Reuters: Tensions Rise as World Faces Short Rations

I’ve posted comments about the coming food crisis for many months - and quite a few just last week. I plan to continue to, as I am reading it almost nowhere in the investing “world” - outside of the social acrimony, this has the potential to be very destabilizing to many of the areas, frankly, I like to invest in, so it’s a big issue. Maybe this will be my Peter Schiff issue - the one I called early that when it comes to fruition will draw me nationwide fame and accolades? Somehow I think not. But at least you’ll know first……
Original Source

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 12:00

Official SEC XML Feeds

Thank you SEC! It’s not often that I feel compelled to thank a federal regulator, especially around tax time, but I am really excited by a new feature of the SEC EDGAR database. This weekend I spotted orange RSS feed images all over EDGAR, like the one in the screenshot below of the company page for Western Sizzlin.
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Original Source: www.fatpitchfinancials.com

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 11:43

Classic Example of Analysts Overexuberance

From this quick Reuters article, comes exactly the reason that the US stock market is NOT “cheap” as pundits continue to cry out across the financial media. I’ve been saying since last year 2008 estimates for any company touching the domestic economy are too high, and will get slashed as the year goes by. But we will go through denial stage (remember most economists in most major firms did not even begin calling for even a potential for recession until December 2007!) … and we continue to go through denial stage as the mindset now has only fallen to “a mild and short recession”….
Original Source

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 11:40

S&P 500 Still in Trading Range

The S&P 500 still appears to be in a trading range with 1270 on the S&P as support, and currently, resistance at the 50 day moving average of 1338. The S&P 500 is currently at 1315.

If the S&P 500 breaks through the 50 day moving average with volume and with good follow through days, next resistance is around 1400.

But until then, the US market is in a trading range (just right below the 50…
Original Source: techfarm.blogspot.com

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 8:53

20+ lessons from a trading review, part I

Having read and written about heaps of traders, there is one thing almost all the successful ones have done: performed a systematic review of their past trades.
A??bear market, or??correction, is a great time to do this.
I did it last week and I’d equate the value of the exercise to reading 20 top trading books, or sitting down with an awesome mentor.
It helps to have good records. I have every trade pasted up in a big art book, including fundamentals, state of the market and charts. If you’re not keeping these types of records you should start today.
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Original Source: globalgrowthinvestor.com

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 4:38

Job Market 2009

I found this video on Toro’s blog, and it is laugh out loud funny… unless you’re a white collar professional in finance that is The exact reversal of 2004-2006 - my how quickly things change …

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) admin @ 4:14

End of the First Quarter

Monday is the last day of the month, and the last trading day of the first quarter. But this Monday is also the first day of what is a very full week.

So I still plan to post results of this blog’s stock picks — both “Life of the Blog” and year-to-date. But it might be a couple of days, give or take.

I suspect the first quarter results are down, with one or two exceptions. Yet this is a long-term game and, for the most part, I remain cautiously optimistic with the portfolio holdings.
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Original Source

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 3:41

Howard Davidowitz on US Consumer

I couldn’t copy this over to the blog but here is a 4 minute audio file worth listening to… kind of funny to hear this in a NY accent - makes it sound even more ominous! :)Same ideas we’ve been discussing for a long time - consumer under major duress and discretionary spending will be going down the tubes as people flee to bulk warehouses and Walmart… as I keep saying, all the current focus is on saving the banking system, but we have a “minor” problem called a consumer led recession that is being completely ignored. But since the bailout of the over levered, risk loving NYC bankers is the important thing that leads to the wall to wall CNBC coverage ;)…
Original Source

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 3:41

Nike ID & Apple Update

I just got back from my first run with the NikeID iPod. I needed a reason to get off my couch and go for a run and the NikeID did the trick. It has been over a month since my last long run, so I was a little rusty. …
Original Source: bp3.blogger.com

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 3:26

Time to Enter Vimpel Communications (VIP)?

I’m starting to get very interested in Vimpel Communications (VIP), a Russian mobile (moving to integrated) telecom player. I’ve invested in this stock a long time ago in my personal account (2004-2005 time frame) and after falling asleep a few times watching it do nothing, sold it off - of course much too early. Starting in middle 2006 it’s rocketed, along with its peer Mobile Telesystems …
Original Source

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 2:11

The Duopsony Condition

Investing involves dealing with investing terms and here is another one to add to your vocabulary. The term duopsony refers to an economic condition where there are only two large buyers for a product or service. Like in a monopoly, this has its drawbacks.
For example, the two companies might offer lower wages for its employees as there is slow competition when it comes to hiring people. This can also affect producers as companies can dictate lower prices for the supply of good being bought just like in a monopoly….
Original Source: networthmasters.com

  31 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 2:03

Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Week 34

Week 34 Major Position ChangesFund positions of 1.0% or greater can be found each week in the right margin of the blog, under the label cloud and recent comments areas; I highlight weekly the larger position changes.Being a long only fund, via Marketocracy rules, the only hedges to the downside I have are cash or buying short …
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com/FundMyMutualFund

  30 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 20:39

81 Stock Returning 9%+ this Week

Despite the indexes not showing much action, a lot of churning under the surface as risk taking appetite appeared to increase, and many stocks shunned for 2 months were favored by the speculative set - showcased by moves back into some high beta technology, Chinese stocks, and solar. A big push back into smaller types of companies as this list is heavily weighted with stocks in the $2-$3B market capitalization range. I continue to find it interesting to see when the solar stocks move, they move en masse - without any differentiation - which makes this group still seem risky to me - there cannot be 100 winners in solar but they are treated all the same 90% of the time - either they are all “bad” or “good”, depending on the mood of the market. This would highlight investors clearly have no way to determine the ultimate winners or losers in this group so they run up (or sell off) everything together. Last, the “commodities are dead” trade that was so popular last week, lasted all of 3 days - as it was reversed this week….
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com/FundMyMutualFund

  30 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 19:55

INTC: Look Ahead to 2008 First Quarter Results

When we evaluated Intel after the fourth quarter of 2007, we noted rises in our Cash Management, G…
Original Source: www.financial-gauges.com

  30 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 18:51

Neutral Tandem (TNDM) - Supply/Demand Imbalance

One of the few successful IPO stocks from late in 2007 is Neutral Tandem Inc (TNDM).  The company is a telecom technology firm that essentially facilitates the connection between carriers.  The company offers an alternative to the traditional ILEC tandem services and it operates in specific geographic markets.  Revenue is earned through the number of […]
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Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com/Zachstocks

  30 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 16:35

Reading List - 29 March 2008

Some Posts Worth Reading

Value Discipline: Recurring Revenues and Industrials
Bill Rempel: Fundamental Portfolio Struggling YTD
Cheap Stocks: P…
Original Source: feeds.feedburner.com/GannonOnInvesting

  30 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 3:19

China Automotive Systems Q4 07 Results

CAAS - China Automotive Systems (Nasdaq) - (Closing Price - $5.73) 
China Automotive Systems reported fourth quarter results on Tuesday March 25 and reported sound results.
China Automotive Systems came in with revenue of 37.71 million and earnings per diluted share of 0.09. Revenue for the quarter was up 36% year over year and up 21% sequentially. […]…
Original Source: www.intelligentspeculator.net

  30 Marzo, 2008| Fundamental Analysis | Comments (0) @ 0:39

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