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22 January, 2008| Economy | Comments (0) @ 9:15

January 22, 2008 - Gary Shilling: A Dozen Reasons To Worry

Gary Shilling is well below average with respect to timing U.S. stocks, consistent with an always-bearish outlook. The nature of his forecast sample indicates only low confidence in this conclusion….
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22 January, 2008| Economy | Comments (0) @ 8:00

Who REALLY Benefits from Volatility

Most articles on volatility, its genesis and characteristics, are quite scholarly yet fail to drive home a simple yet essential point: the key beneficiaries of volatility are those with liquidity and an understanding of value, plain and simple. I’m not talking about flow traders who want volatility so they can capture more bid/offer spreads, or position traders who swing for the fences in volatile markets so they can create a winning bet. I’m talking about investors who have discipline, protect their capital against crowded trades and think independently from the rest of Wall Street. It is these people for whom the sun is shining when for others it is raining cats and dogs (and bears), who quietly sit back until the fear across the market is so palpable you could hear a pin drop and then swoop in and deploy capital at precisely the time it is most counter-intuitive yet profitable to do so.
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22 January, 2008| Economy | Comments (0) @ 4:02

The Stress Test

As we write this, foreign markets have plunged over the weekend. Stocks will open lower — much lower — at a frightening level. Individual investors may well panic. Some traders will see this as the indicator they have been seeking - a dramatically lower opening that provides a buying signal.

We reported …
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22 January, 2008| Economy | Comments (0) @ 3:48

A new IMF and World Bank

Gordon Brown, the British prime minister, has always had a strong interest in economic development. Now, in a speech in New Delhi, he has outlined a plan to change the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, bringing them into the 21st century and adding an environmental emphasis. Could it work?
Brown wants to […]…
Original Source: blogs.iht.com

22 January, 2008| Economy | Comments (0) @ 2:04

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