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The VIX Has No Causal Power

We should buy stocks because the VIX is going to decline, according to a strategist at J.P. Morgan.  As reported in the Striking Price Daily:

Admittedly, trading stocks, or puts and calls, to benefit from VIX’s fluctuations seems like adventurism, but many investors routinely chase less well-researched ideas. Lee, the J.P. Morgan strategist, opines that VIX can be expected to decline following improvements in the credit markets, more macroeconomic clarity, an easing of hedge-fund redemption related selling, and the end of the presidential election.

Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/condoroptions


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 21:21
Let’s Get Ready to Rebound

As the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared today to a nearly 900-point gain, the largest financial exchange traded fund (ETF) rode the top of the wave.
The Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) gained a one-day trading record of 15.7%, the biggest jump for the fund since its inception nearly 10 years……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 15:00
Muni-Bonds Rally Giving Appeal to ETFs

Cities around the United States need some cash, sparking a municipal bond rally that could be good news for exchange traded fund (ETF) investors.
States and cities are selling off around $6 billion worth of debt this week. For example, Houston is selling $423 million and New York City will sell……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 14:00
Bear Market Rally - Time Is Running Out - Sell Out-of-the-Money Puts!

The market held up well yesterday in spite of major declines around the world. It rallied up to Friday’s high and then it failed miserably. In the last 10 minutes of trading, buyers ran for cover and the S&P 500 futures fell 30 points. In doing so, it established a new closing low for the year. This is not the kind of action I expect to see at a support level. Foreign markets exhibited the type of capitulation low I’ve been looking for. The Hang Seng was down 10% yesterday and today is up 14%. The problem is follow-through. The rallies …

Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/oneOptionBlog


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 14:00
ETF Assets Surge While Mutual Funds’ Leak

If you think that exchange traded funds (ETFs) have been hemorrhaging assets along with mutual funds, you’d be completely wrong. The kind of inflows and trading volume ETFs have received this year might be enough to quiet the most pessimistic of people who say that industry closures mean the……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 13:00
Consumer Staples ETF Could Be Hit By Slower Food Spending

The consumer staples sector has typically been considered a defensive play in a down economy, but what’s an exchange traded fund (ETF) to do when families start cutting back on food, of all things?
According to a recent study, more American families are going to depend on food donations than……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 12:00
The $64K Question: What Do I Do Now?

We received this question from an ETF Trends reader this weekend:
What do you suggest for right now? Our portfolio is down to almost half its value and everything seems to be trading below the trend line (except for short ETFs). Do you recommend:
a) Liquidating the portfolio and waiting for things……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 11:00
Knowledge is Good

As always, wondering if Power Lunch will ever actually make a statement about volatility that is correct.I can’t do this justice, but a reporter Not Named Pisani was on today from the floor with the statement that thanks to this high volatility, the market will spend 68% of it’s time within some sort of range….
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 11:00
Retail ETFs Pessimistic After Report, But Wall Street Prevails

Retail exchange traded funds (ETFs) are lower in early trading on reports that consumer confidence is at its lowest point on record this month.
The consumer confidence index plunged to 38, down from 61.4 in September and far below expectations of 52, reports Christopher S. Rugaber for the……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:00
Sold More DRYS Calls

DryShips Inc (DRYS) has been a very poor investment for me.  I got in too early and sold puts through a rookie typo when I tried to buy downside protection a few weeks ago.  I corrected that mistake within 10 minutes for a $100 loss, but never went back in to buy new puts.  DRYS has fallen another 50% since then and has bad press chasing it lower.  After it came back up from its lows the last time, I made another mistake and intentionally sold puts at the $17.50 strike.  Now I own 200 shares and my naked puts are nearly $5.00 in the money. 

Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/MyTradersJournal


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 8:50
Why USO?

Smarter minds than yours truly have noted that USO is not the best bullish play on oil here. My understanding of the product is that USO owns futures, and must roll each cycle. And right now oil is in deep contango, which always sounds pornographic, but actually just refers to the fact that there’s a particularly steep and upward sloped curve in the futures as you go out in time….
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 7:23
SPX Put Bomb Update

Last Wednesday, in SPX Options Carpet Bomb Pushes VIX SOQ to 63.04 (!) I reported on a series of transactions involving some 285,000+ SPX put contracts that one party apparently purchased at the open. At the time, my angle on these transactions focused on the ability of the purchaser to artificially create a sharp jump in the ‘s…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/VixAndMore


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 6:33
Two ETF Exchanges Team Up to Become One

Exchange traded funds (ETFs) previously listed on the American Stock Exchange are quickly shifting over to their new home on the NYSE Euronext.
The move brings the total exchange traded product listings on the NYSE Euronext to 680, excluding ETFs overseas. One provider that moved its ETFs over is……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 6:00
PowerShares Cuts Expenses for 11 ETFs

Everyone loves to see lower prices, especially when it comes to exchange traded funds (ETFs).
In an effort to keep up with the competition, PowerShares announced late last week that they are cutting expense ratios on 11 ETFs that use Research Affiliates’ fundamental indexing approach, reports……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  28 October, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 1:00

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