Derivatives
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- Where is the Bottom?
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I mentioned in my last post that we are possibly close to a near term bottom, but we need further supporting evidence on the chart to confirm. Well, the market is still continuing its free fall and it seems that no government intervention can put a stop to it at the moment. The above 10 year weekly S&P 500 chart shows that it has broken the 950 level support. Since its a weekly, chart, we will need to see if it can close below 950 on Friday to confirm it has indeed broken. But chances are high that it will now retest the lows we see in 2002 - around the 800 region. Because if it can’t defend the 61.8% Fibonacci, it will usually retrace all the way back. Don’t attempt to catch a falling knife. Wait for confirmation before going long.
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Original Source: simplyoptionstrading.blogspot.com
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 23:18
- The TED Spread: the New VIX?
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People have ideological reasons for opposing the nationalization of U.S. banks, in whole or in part, and that’s understandable. But at this moment, the only viable ideological positions seem to be Keynesian or anarchist. Paul Kedrosky summarizes the situation well:
People keep talking about the perils of nationalizing the banking system. Newsflash: There currently is no banking system, if by that you mean a network of organizations lending to one another and to quality companies in a predictable way. (Look at the spread on today’s IBM issue for an example.) Instead, there are a bunch of paralyzed deposit-hoarding institutions stuck in a game theory experiment that no-one understands or can exit.
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Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/condoroptions
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 19:01
- As ETFs, Markets Fall, Government Digs In Toolbox
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It seems like every day, a new weapon in the fight to save our economy and exchange traded funds (ETFs) is unleashed.
So far, little seems to impress the markets. Since the $700 billion bailout was approved, things have only gone lower. A fresh interest rate cut didn’t help. What’s next?
There are a few other options, […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 15:00
- Yesterday’s Decline - Lack of Buying Late - Short-Term Lows Are Near!
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Our financial system has been flooded with so much cash that banks are trying to drink water from a fire hydrant. The situation is dire, but I sense that the tide is turning. This week, central banks around the world coordinated a global interest rate cut. This has never been accomplished before and it reinforces two realities; the credit crisis is severe and the financial system is global. The decoupling theory that suggested the US would suffer an economic decline while the rest of the world prospered was flawed. Banks are still hoarding money and the Fed is now purchasing commercial …
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Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/oneOptionBlog
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 14:57
- New Record Close for Volatility Indices
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Today’s dramatic last hour selloff resulted in new record high closes in four of the seven major U.S. volatility indices, including the VIX, which exceeded 60 for the first time and established a new record close of 63.92. In addition to the VIX, the VXD (CBOE DJIA Volatility Index) and the R…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/VixAndMore
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 14:32
- Dow Extends Losses, But ETF Investors Should Stick to Plan
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It’s ugly out there for exchange traded fund (ETF) investors, but we have always said and will reiterate that while the temptation is to panic, it’s wise for investors to keep their cool.
These are uncertain times - no one really knows if this crisis is going to end next week, or next year. The only […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 14:00
- Commodity ETFs On Ice for Now
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The hot streak commodity exchange traded funds (ETFs) saw this year is now on a cooling trend, as values have dropped 26-44% in the three months leading to Tuesday.
The commodities slide is vast, and mutual funds have also taken hits. Crude oil is down 35% over the past three months, and metals such as silver […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 13:00
- Feels Like Capitulation to Me
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Not that it cannot get worse, just the I think we stop here for now……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/VixAndMore
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 12:54
- VIX October 80 Calls Quoted 0.40-0.55
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These are a new contract as of today and already have a volume of 1320……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/VixAndMore
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 12:24
- VIX Hits 60
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No sign of capitulation yet……
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/VixAndMore
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 12:21
- Capitulation Leg?
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The sharp move down just after 3:00 p.m. EDT has some elements of a capitulation move….
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/VixAndMore
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 12:04
- Differing Russia Opinions Could Sway ETF
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Confidence in Russia’s exchange traded fund (ETF) could be restored after the country’s forces fully completed a withdrawal from zones around Georgia’s rebel region Wednesday.
An imminent withdrawal occurred earlier than ordered by French president Nick Sarkozy, also president of the European Union. He had brokered a peace plan to be set into action by Friday.
Adrian […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 12:00
- Gold ETFs Lure Investors
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As the financial roller coaster rolls on, gold exchange traded funds (ETFs) are pulling in new fans at a historical rate.
Investors seek out the metal as a safe haven, because it always has value, no matter where in the world you are. You can store it, take it home, or even better, buy an ETF […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 11:00
- And So We Go On
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All rise as we continue on Page 617 of this Bloomberg article. Remember, these blog posts read right to left today….
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 10:19
- Bank Ownership Could Help Financials, ETFs
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As markets and exchange traded funds (ETFs) continue another day of see-sawing, the Bush administration says it’s considering an ownership stake in some U.S. banks as another tool to deal with the global credit crisis.
No decision has officially been made, but some supporters say injecting capital into the banks could help their balance sheets, reports […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 10:00
- Failure to Launch
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Almost all of my overbought and oversold indicators that I apply to various indices and ETFs are screaming “oversold!” at the moment. One index in particular, the S&P 400 MidCap Index, stands out among the crowd. The MidCap Index, which has an ETF that trades under the ticker MDY, has been in existence since 1995. The chart below, courtesy of Yahoo, shows the performance of that index over the past 15 years. If you are looking for an overbought/oversold indicator, the 21 day r…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/VixAndMore
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 8:08
- Boom Time for Options Players?
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Lot’s of buzz about this article on all the coin minted by options traders this year.Well, that’s the implication, but it’s a tad more complex than that. Generally speaking, an increasing volatility environment is a good one for options traders. But that’s a broad statement, individual results can and will vary enormously. Someone’s also getting obliterated selling all that “fat” premium as it got twice as “fat” almost overnight. And someone’s also doubling down on DEEEPs on the way down too….
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 7:37
- ETF Industry Pauses for Breath Amid Turmoil
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The financial meltdown felt around the world is certainly not the ideal condition for a new exchange traded fund (ETF) to launch into the market.
There are more than 500 new products awaiting approval in the pipeline, but it is hard to tell if they will see the light of day as the credit crisis gives […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 6:00
- A New Brilliant Idea
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My friends, so how about put buys on some Double Inverses?I suppose it’s not that much different from buying a call on a regular ETF or double ETF. But be that as it may, I’m trying it here and there on those (too frequent) moments I want to do something bullish on either direction or volatility or both at once….
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 5:54
- Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL): Another Bite of the Apple - BMO Capital
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BMO Capital is out cautious on Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) having recently visited or spoken with sales reps at 32 Apple and 30 AT&T stores in various parts of the US and the UK. Apple is not escaping the gravity of weakening consumer spending, in firm’s view.Negative – for the first time in years, store reps are indicating sales have slowed, in CPUs in particular. While the data was not universal, about onethird of sales reps they spoke with noticed some slowing, which is a significant change from past checks. Conversations with AT&T sales reps indicated no recent change in iPhone run rates, but the firm has elected to cut their FY2009 iPhone forecast nonetheless….
Original Source: notablecalls.blogspot.com
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9 October, 2008| Derivatives |
Comments (0) @ 4:38