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The Man Who Sold the World

Long time no see.Had the market been a little more stable over the last several trading sessions, I might have tried to make more appearances. However, stability is not in the cards, not until the market is appeased with a bailout. As of right now, there is a 85% probability that Congress approves this bailout before Oct 31st, which is why the markets snapped back the way they did. I don’t think I would assign such a high probability to that, which is why I am trying my best to discount the government from my trading decisions. …
Original Source: www.optionaddict.net


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 19:37
Returns — Through September 2008

Both 2008 year-to-date and 2007 performance results for the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio (CCAP) are presented below. In each instance, CCAP results are compared against the Russell 3000 Index ETF(IWV) benchmark. 1. 2008 Year-to-Date Results (Jan 1st through Sep 30th, 2008): CCAP 2008 Year-to-Date Absolute Return = -13.96% ($221,860.17-$257,886.51)/$257,886.51Benchmark Russell 3000(IWV) 2008 Yr-to-Date Absolute Return = -…
Original Source: coveredcallsadvisor.blogspot.com


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 15:38
Consumer, Real Estate News Affects ETFs Differently

Retail and real estate-focused exchange traded funds (ETFs) could be affected by the latest round of good news/bad news from their respective sectors.
Consumer confidence in September actually made some slight gains to hit their highest reading since April, reports Lara Moscrip for CNNMoney. Economists surveyed expected the reading to fall.
Even with the gains, though, the […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 15:00
ETN Investors Shun Funds In Favor of ETFs

Market volatility and the precariousness of our financial institutions are making some exchange traded note (ETN) investors a little nervous.
The recent failure of Lehman Brothers has highlighted the risks of ETNs, which are credit instruments. And even when salvation for a firm that has gone bust arrives, there’s no guarantee - as the in case […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 14:00
September ETF Performance Report

Today brings to a close one of the most volatile months and quarters for exchange traded funds (ETFS) in stock market history. Several of the country’s largest financial institutions failed, some others merged and others were acquired by the government.
There were a number of days that had both gains and losses in the hundreds of […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 13:50
No Deal Today - Short Stocks - Take Profits Before The Bell!

Yesterday, we saw the market’s reaction to a failed effort by Republicans and Democrats. Our financial system needs a bailout plan. Credit markets are starting to lock up and banks have lost faith in their counterparties. An enormous insurance company named Fortis was bailed out in Europe yesterday. The credit crisis is spreading around the globe and financial institutions are interdependent. Foreign markets have been hit hard and we are not the only ones feeling pain at this juncture. Over the weekend, Citigroup bought Wachovia and while that should be viewed as a positive event, it scares me. Big banks are …

Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/oneOptionBlog


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 13:21
Keeping Our Heads Down


While we’ve been communicating more actively than usual with subscribers, things have been somewhat quieter here on the free part of the site.  The reason?  We don’t expect historical and statistical studies to be nearly as helpful in a market environment like this one.  And since we don’t have any unique insight into the likelihood of various political and economic events coming to pass, we figure your RSS reader or pony express boy or whatever is already loaded with enough punditry.

Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/condoroptions


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 13:19
Making Predictions With Financial ETFs Is Impossible

The financial sector and related exchange traded funds (ETFs) are in a pit these days. Most of them are trading 50% or more off their highs, and who knows where we’re going to go from here?
The financial services industry is in uncharted water right now, and who knows what it will be like in six […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 13:00
Regional Bank ETFs Struggle With Confidence

Until recently, regional bank exchange traded funds (ETFs) were the stalwarts of this whole crisis, resisting the downward motion of the general markets.
But now investors fear that these banks are going to get steamrolled right along with the general global credit crisis, report Jonathan Spicer and Juan Lagorio for Reuters. Many wondered which banks were […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 12:00
Current Portfolio - September 30, 2008

I’ve been all over the board this month.  Here’s a snapshot of my current portfolio as of 2:45 pm today.  I have a mixture of covered calls, naked calls, naked puts and long stocks.  I have a little less than $4,000 in time value left to melt away before October options’ expiration.  I recovered about half of my losses from yesterday so far today, but we all know that could change by a few thousand in either direction with more than an hour left in the trading day.

Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/MyTradersJournal


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 11:50
Good News for Bear Markets, ETFs In Volatility Index

If we’re going solely by indicators to tell us that our exchange traded fund (ETF) and economic troubles are nearing a close, one offers a ray of hope.
The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, otherwise known as the VIX, rose 34% yesterday. The index is considered the market’s “fear gauge,” because it tends to rise […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 11:00
That VIX Magic?

How did those VIX numbers work in September?On September 15th, the VIX exploded about 20% and shot above 30. The SPY closed at 120.09.On September 17th, the VIX hit new closing highs for 2008. The SPY closed at 116.61…
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:50
As Bailout Deal Is Hashed Out, Markets, ETFs Wait

After yesterday’s stunning plunge that left stocks and exchange traded funds (ETFs) nursing some heavy wounds, U.S. and global leaders pulled together to plead with lawmakers to pass a $700 billion bailout plan to save the financial system.
The European and Asian economies woke up to a deepened crisis today, and the global markets ended mixed.  […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:00
What ETF Investors Have On Their Minds

With all the news and uncertainty going on in the markets, many investors are wondering what to do with their exchange traded funds (ETFs) and their portfolios. Here are some questions that we’ve received from readers and wanted to share with all of you.
Now that the Dow has suffered its largest one-day point loss ever, […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 7:36
Even More VIX

The Stat of The Day is apparently that the VIX has only gone this high 4 times, and each time the market is a buy.Of course the VIX is very high now, as high as it’s been in 6 years. It suggests Fear has exploded, which historically has proven a good time to buy. …
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 7:31
Long the SPX on New VIX Record Closes

In light of yesterday’s record close in the VIX, a reader asked about the historical track record if one were to buy the market when the VIX made a new high. First, let’s detail the history of new end of day highs in the VIX. Working backward, the five most recent new highs came during a span of 8/27/98 to 10/8/98 as the Russian financial crisis morphed into the L…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/VixAndMore


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 7:07
Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL): Pullback in Apple shares overdone – reiterate Buy - Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs is out defending Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) noting broader Broader concerns about softer consumer demand will continue to cause Apple shares to be volatile in the near term. However, the recent sell off creates an opportunity as they think Apple will outperform the group through the end of the year, driven by iPhone unit upside and a strong product pipeline. Firm thinks yesterday’s -18% decline (underperforming S&P 500 by -910 bps) more than captures the concerns over Mac growth in a weakening spending environment, making Apple shares attractive at current levels. In the intermediate-term, they think Apple shares could move back to the $145 level, applying a 1x PEG multiple on calendar 2009 earnings estimate recognizing iPhone as current period revenue….
Original Source: notablecalls.blogspot.com


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 4:27
History of the VIX Part 1

OK, quick primer on the VIX.The VIX you see on the board is a measure that has existed only since 2004. So thus when you hear it hit a “record”, it’s not as impressive as meets the high. And it was indeed a record yesterday. …
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 4:20
TARP — Putting Humpty Dumpty Back Together Again - Keefe

Keefe, Bruyette notes that on Monday, the House rejected legislation creating a Troubled Asset Relief Program, 205-228. In the wake of the vote, Congress is trying to pick up the pieces and pass the bill. Firm thinks it will take a few days to put a deal back together. In the end, they continue to believe that a bill will be passed.Washington failed for several reasons to pass the TARP. However, Wall Street’s reaction to the failure will, in Keefe’s opinion, move Congress to finish the bill in several days….
Original Source: notablecalls.blogspot.com


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 3:09
Funds Scramble to Deliver Transparency ETFs Offer

Investors who want to know what they own need to look no further than exchange traded funds (ETFs), something that has become increasingly apparent.
After the last few tumultuous weeks we’ve had, it’s no shock that investors would like to get a closer look at what, exactly, is in their portfolio. That’s why some fund companies […]…
Original Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/etftrends-feed


  30 September, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 1:00
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