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Bullish Case Losing Traction

As this week is somewhat of a vacation for me, I had a rare day where I missed about 95% of the trading action and am only now checking the patient’s vital signs. On a down day like today, I expect to see some more bullish bias creep into some of my contrarian sentiment indicators; much to my surprise, today things actually look worse for the bulls in that regard. Now that it has been m…
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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 20:57
Slowing Newspaper Business Could Hit Media ETF A Little

The slowing economy is spreading through the pages of many newspapers on a regional and national scale as ad revenue drops, leaving media exchange traded funds (ETFs) vulnerable. Some say the drop in ad revenue is the most severe the industry has seen since The Great Depression, and the second half of 2008 is predicted to be worse.

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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 15:00
China’s Strict Rules Could Impact Related ETFs

China is on everyone’s minds these days as the country gears up for its Olympic Games next week, and many are looking for ways the country’s activity could boost related exchange traded funds (ETFs).
But are tightening rules for businesses hurting them ahead of the games? A…
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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 14:00
Closing Bell: American Bad Ass


Original Source: www.optionaddict.net


  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 13:44
Sold Qualcom (QCOM) Naked Puts

I finished July options expiration with a full profit on QCOM and planned to get back in last week, but had some other orders hit before my QCOM order could.  I don’t like selling all of my month’s options within a day or two of each other in case there’s a big market move against me I like to have the cash on hand to sell puts into a dip.  Before I could adjust my order on QCOM they settled the lawsuit (in favor of QCOM) with Nokia regarding patent infringements.   This has been the big issue holding them back and now that it’s resolved, QCOM has room to run some.  Before I could make a trade, QCOM was already up big.  I waited to see if it would slide back some, but instead it inched up a little more. 

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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 13:17
Homebuilder ETFs Trade Nervously Lower Ahead of Earnings News

Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) is expected to deliver their second-quarter earnings numbers, but investors and exchange traded funds (ETFs) aren’t exuding positivity ahead of the news.
Meritage is the 12th-largest homebuilder in the United States.

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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 13:00
"Option Addict 2.0"

Sorry folks, I am going to need a mulligan today.
After spending most of my day absorbed with technical challenges, I wasn’t able to do much in the way of commentary throughout the day. Apparently, all I missed was a sub-200 day on the Dow, as the market cruises down to test the lows. Nothing major, right?
I can say that the watchlist provided some decent ideas today…
GHM, GMCR, FSLR, DRYS, ENER, THQI, DECK, LEH, GME, CME, NILE …
Original Source: www.optionaddict.net


  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 12:58
Ryanair: Airline, or Energy Bear Fund?

Ryanair (RYAAY) is down about 25% today after it warned that it would miss expectations for Q1 and would probably post a loss for 2008.  The reason?  They deliberately refused to hedge their exposure to oil prices…

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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 12:27
Ryanair: Airline, or Energy Bear Fund?

Ryanair (RYAAY) is down about 25% today after it warned that it would miss expectations for Q1 and would probably post a loss for 2008.  The reason?  They deliberately refused to hedge their exposure to oil prices…

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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 12:27
South African ETFs Represent a Mixed Bag

South Africa is showing renewed vigor that’s helping its currency exchange traded fund (ETF).
The South African rand strengthened against the euro for the second week in a row, showing the country’s strength and endurance in the global market. At the moment, the rand is outperforming high-yielding currencies, and it strengthened against the euro as interest rates neared their highest for the past five years, e…
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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 12:00
Kraft’s Earnings Could Fuel Consumer Staples ETFs

The fond memories you have for your college diet might deliver an energy boost to consumer staples exchange traded funds (ETFs).
Kraft Foods (KFT) reported its second-quarter earnings, which rose 4%, r…
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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 11:00
Idol Fever

Whatever happened to Katherine McPhee?Just to clear up the Market Maker “exemption” to the New Shorting Rules. They can still locate before firmly borrowing the shares. BUT they still must deliver by settlement date and are subject to buy-ins if they fail. Same as everyone else. So thus if someone goes to the option marketplace and buys puts or uses put/call combos in lieu of actually shorting stock himself, the option MM’s are now in there shorting stock, as opposed to the Naked Shorter. If his clearing firm tells him he can borrow the shares, the MM’s obligation is done. If the clearing firm is lending out those same shares to multiple parties, the clearing firm is on the hook here….
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:55
Should Oil And Related ETFs Kiss the Free And Easy ’70s Lifestyle Goodbye?

We’re not talking about the way it was, it’s more like the way things will never be again, when speaking about oil and exchange traded funds (ETFs) that track it. Many are saying that we’re in new world of oil reality.
This month, Valero Energy got the bad news that Mexico would be cutting off supplies to one of the company’s Gulf Coast refineries by 15%. Mexico’s oil enterprise is one of the conglomerate’s main sources of crude, r…
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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:00
401(k) Fees On A Downward Trend Giving ETFs A Better Place In the Industry

It appears 401(k) plan sponsors are listening, as the fees associated with them are trending on a downward momentum, leaving more opportunity for exchange traded funds (ETFs) to find their n…
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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:00
ANR, A Covered Call Case

The Cleveland-based company (CLF) announced its bid for Alpha (A…
Original Source: www.optionpundit.net


  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 7:49
Volatility Chart Du Jour, ICE

So what’s a better proxy for Fear in financial and energy than a financial company (OK, an exchange) that trades energy products?Pretty huge spike in ICE to say the least. Still very high volatility around 70, but you have earnings due in a week, and stock volatility itself to support it….
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 6:47
Palm (NASDAQ:PALM): Backlog may lead to a big upside revenue surprise above Street - RBC Capital

RBC Capital is out with a major call on Palm (NASDAQ:PALM) saying Palm’s Q4/F08 Smartphone backlog (disclosed Friday in its 10-K) may lead to a Q1 (end Aug) upside revenue surprise above street estimates. Palm reports Q1 approx late Sept.According to the firm, Palm’s disclosed Q4 backlog is $238M, (vs. $185M Q4/F07, $121M Q4/ F06). Past precedents (Q1 Smartphone rev = 1.9x-1.6x Q4 backlog for past 2 years) suggest Palm’s Q1/F09 Smartphone results may be $380M+ (1.6x Q4 backlog), or est. $413M+ total revenue, well above $324M street, with implied EPS at ($0.04) vs. ($0.18) street. …
Original Source: notablecalls.blogspot.com


  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 6:31
Recession Could Loom for Japan, Affecting ETFs

Japan’s slowing exports could have an impact on the country’s exchange traded funds (ETFs).
For the first time in four years, Japan’s exports fell year on year. The economy in Japan is dependent upon domestic consumption to sustain growth, and with exports down, a recession may be in the near future for the islands. E…
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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 6:00
51 Job (NASDAQ:JOBS): Heads up on JOBS

Briefing.com is erroneously reporting that Goldman Sachs has downgraded 51 Job (NASDAQ:JOBS) to Sell from Neutral.The actual downgrade occured Friday morning. Think the good people at Briefing.com missed it.Notablecalls: We may see some panic short covering after Briefing.com clients realize they have been shorting/selling on old info.PS: I still greatly enjoy Briefing.com services….
Original Source: notablecalls.blogspot.com


  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 5:25
Dividend ETFs Are Put Together In Different Ways

Dividend investing with exchange traded funds (ETFs) has had enough time in the game to see which ones are the most successful.
Dan Caplinger for The Motley Fool reports that after the tech bubble in the 1990s, dividend investing came back into style and Wall Street responded with the advent of dividend-paying ETFs. Many investors have had a rough time lately, and current market conditions have yielded bigger losses on dividend stocks than what they’ve gotten back in quarterly checks.

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  28 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 1:00

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