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Calendar Options: One-Two Punch

IYR 1-minute chart for 7/7/2008We expected EEM to give us trouble yesterday, but IYR was supposed to be a different story. It had closed last Thursday more than 1.5% above our adjustment point, with support from its March low standing in between. The ETF had been declining at the relatively civilized rate of about 1% per day, so it hadn’t given us much cause for concern…until yesterday.

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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 22:35
The Twitter Contrary Indicator


Look, when programming gurus (and he’s one of the good guys, incidentally) are twittering about NYSE crashes and Hindenburg Omens, then maybe it’s time to take just a teensy dabble of a long position.   Sure, maybe the bottom falls out and we all have to learn to settle for Central Park Pigeon entrées, but then again maybe all these publicly traded companies aren’t e…
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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 19:31
Political Unrest In Switzerland May Hit ETF

Political events are often one of the risks of international exchange traded funds (ETFs).
That being said, unrest in Switzerland could wind up affecting the iShares MSCI Switzerland Index (EWL)….
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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 15:00
Light Trading Will Kick Off Earnings Season - Keep Your Size Small.

A month ago, the unemployment rate made its biggest spike in 22 years. Last week, traders weren’t taking any chances and they nailed the market in advance of the Unemployment Report Due to the holiday, the number was released last Thursday. The report showed that 62,000 jobs were lost and that was slightly higher than expected. We also learned that an additional 50,000 jobs were lost in April and May as those numbers were revised. Even though the Unemployment Report came in worse than expected, the market was able to recover and it finished slightly higher. Interest rates and earnings drive …

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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 14:01
Closing Bell: In Bloom


Original Source: www.optionaddict.net


  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 14:01
Light Trading Will Kick Off Earnings Season - Keep Your Size Small.

A month ago, the unemployment rate made its biggest spike in 22 years. Last week, traders weren’t taking any chances and they nailed the market in advance of the Unemployment Report Due to the holiday, the number was released last Thursday. The report showed that 62,000 jobs were lost and that was slightly higher than expected. We also learned that an additional 50,000 jobs were lost in April and May as those numbers were revised. Even though the Unemployment Report came in worse than expected, the market was able to recover and it finished slightly higher. Interest rates and earnings drive …

Original Source:


  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 14:01
G-8 Summit’s Moves for African Aid Could Help Frontier Market ETF

The Group of Eight summit this week is focusing on aid for Africa, and the current and forthcoming exchange traded funds (ETFs) that focus on frontier markets could benefit if it takes.
German Chanellor Angela Merkel urged the world leaders to take a tough stance on Zimbabwe after President Robert Mugabe’s win, r…
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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 14:00
Boeing Could Help Related ETFs Take Off

Boeing (BA) and exchange traded funds (ETFs) that hold the company may be ready for take off, as they just posted their highest quarterly plane shipment in almost seven years.
For the first time in 10 days on Thursday, Boeing shares rose, and ended the long run in declines since 1983, r…
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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 13:00
WHERE is the Rally??

A good hedgie contact with an excellent track just pinged me with the following:Hey.. wait a minute… I thought that when oil drops the market would rally?? Isn’t that what CNBC tells us??.Today I seeOil down $5NG down 60 centssoft commodities limit down across the board ( I think)dollar is behaving too.My guess is that this is the final blow to the bulls… they stayed long hope.. that an oil/commodity drop would spark a rally…. and NOW WHAT?? Perhaps we see the last of them simply throw in the towel in coming days….
Original Source: notablecalls.blogspot.com


  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 12:42
Countdown to Rays-Brewers

The Mets have officially driven me nuts. But baseball’s great. I love the fact a small market team is sort of going all-in and taking a Sabathia rental. Sure makes them the team to beat now in the NL. Alyssa Milano even on board, donning Ben Sheets varsity jeans  jacket….
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 12:30
Can NBC’s Purchase Forecast Better Days for Industrial ETFs?

NBC Universal is gearing up to purchase The Weather Channel and Weather.com, which might help exchange traded funds (ETFs) that count NBC’s parent company, GE (GE), as a top holding.
The deal is to purchase the channel and site from a private company for $3.5 billion. NBC was the lone bidder after Time Warner Inc. dropped out and CBS Corp. never moved beyond an expression of interest, r…
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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 12:00
Calendar Options Adjustment Alert: EEM July/Sept Calendar Spread (Adjustment #2)

After a failed attempt to rally, EEM is down almost a dollar from Thursday’s close. Of the four options we discussed in this morning’s update, rolling our remaining 140-strike position to 130 is looking best right now, because it buys us a little more room on the down side without hemming us in on the up side.
Here’s the trade we’re making this afternoon:

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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 11:06
Flights Between China and Taiwan Fly Freely, Adding to ETF Successes

China’s stocks and exchange traded funds (ETFs) are up by the most in nearly three weeks, led by banking shares.
Two of the country’s largest banks - Merchants Bank and Citic Bank - reported that their first-half earnings had more than doubled, r…
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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 11:00
Free Money Idea

Sell the FNM July 15 straddle for $4. Yes, that’s $4 for a straddle with a strike price of 15. With 2 weeks to go. That translates into something like a 180 volatility. Don’t they have government guarantees or something? Free cheese!…
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:31
Woulda… Coulda… Shoulda…

Check this out…I feel like I have robbed the internets of free money today. I have also robbed myself apparently of large sums of money. All because of my organizational skills. Allow me to tell you about it.If you’ve never seen how I go about my analysis, you are missing an incredible experience. Like a professional athlete prepares for a game, the Option Addict prepares in a similar fashion to man-handle the market. Let me give you a sample….
Original Source: www.optionaddict.net


  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:30
A New Look at ETF Trends

You may have noticed that we look a little different over here. Don’t worry – you didn’t go that crazy this weekend. We’ve made some changes here at ETF Trends that we hope you’ll like. They include:

A video screen in the right column.

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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:30
VIX:VXV Ratio Approaches Bullish Territory

One of the better indicators over the past 7 ½ months has been the VIX:VXV ratio, which, as the chart below shows, has been quite accurate in calling tops and bottoms in the market following the VXV was launched back in November 2007 and I whose application I pioneered …
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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:16
Oil ETFs Step Back, But They Still Offer Opportunities

Oil exchange traded funds (ETFs) might be taking a breather today, but that doesn’t mean black gold’s relentless rise is over just yet.
The price has more than doubled in the last year, and D…
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  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 10:00
Bank with Banks

These little rallies don’t stay too long, do they?I mentioned on the "Weekly Watchlist" that I still like the idea of buying puts on the banks as they crack through support. After a quick scan of the financial sector, I came up with these candidates. This set-up has worked 100% of the time with the bank and brokerage stocks we’ve followed. I’m not suggesting that the track record will remain in tact going forward, but the "short the financial sector" theme has been a lay-up….
Original Source: www.optionaddict.net


  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 9:21
Another Way to Look

Hedgefolios had this on the VIX the other day, hat tip VIX and More….
Original Source: adamsoptions.blogspot.com


  7 July, 2008| Derivatives | Comments (0) @ 7:51
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